Russian Forces Digging Defenses In Kursk But 45Km - 75Km From Border

Satellite and other visual evidence reveals that Russian forces are urgently digging new defensive lines in Kursk oblast, but that they are 45 to 75 kilometers from the border. This suggests that the Kremlin believes it will have to concede considerably more territory to the Ukrainian offensive before it can begin to stop it. 

This acknowledgement also reveals the woeful state of Russia's reserves as pressure grows to slow its slow, attritional advances in the Donbas in order to prevent further embarrassment and Ukrainian gains in Kursk. JL

Novaya Gazeta reports:

Russian troops have started digging trenches deep inside the Kursk region amid the continuing Ukrainian incursion. Posts on Russia's leading classifieds website seek workers to dig trenches. The ads promised applicants a monthly wage of between 150,000–210,000 rubles (€1,530–2,150), which is far higher than the national average. Noting that the trenches under construction were located between 45–75 kilometres from the Ukrainian border, any Russian decision to fall back to those positions “would cede Ukraine a massive amount of territory” suggesting that could reflect the amount of territory Russia was willing allow Ukraine to temporarily occupy in the Kursk region.

Russian troops have started digging trenches deep inside the Kursk region amid the continuing Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) incursion into Russian territory, according to OSINTtechnical, an X account about open-source intelligence.

OSINTtechnical collected satellite images of the trenches, suggesting that they could reflect the amount of territory Russia was willing allow Ukraine to temporarily occupy in the Kursk region.

Noting that the trenches under construction were located between 45–75 kilometres from the Ukrainian border, OSINTtechnical said that any Russian decision to fall back to those positions “would cede Ukraine a massive amount of territory”.

On Sunday, the BBC reported that Russian troops were building defensive lines around the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, with the AFU reportedly just 50 kilometres away from the facility. According to BBC Verify, new networks of trenches, the nearest of which is just 8 kilometres from the nuclear power plant, can be seen on satellite images of the area.

On Wednesday BBC News Russian reported finding over 30 posts on Avito, Russia's leading classifieds website, urgently seeking workers in the Kursk region to dig trenches. The ads, which stressed that no prior experience was necessary, promised successful applicants a monthly wage of between 150,000–210,000 rubles (€1,530–2,150), which is far higher than the national average.

The unprecedented AFU cross-border offensive in Russia’s Kursk and Belgorod regions is now in its second week, with bluster from the Kremlin so far not being reflected by significant changes on the ground.

According to AFU Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, as of Tuesday evening, Ukrainian troops control 74 villages in the Kursk region. Acting Kursk Governor Alexey Smirnov, however, said on Monday that the Ukrainian military controlled just 28 villages.