The reports reveal that the intransigent behavior of his representatives in Istanbul and the 'completely unreasonable demands' he is making are driven by 'overly optimistic' reports on his forces' performance which run counter to the actual situation on the ground. The Russians have failed to achieve any of their stated objectives in the last year, such gains as they make are considered 'incremental' or strategically insignificant and Ukrainian drones, as well as the increase in domestically produced armaments - which have reduced Ukraine's dependence on the US - have leveled Russia's once formidable advantages. In effect, he has no idea his forces are losing because his generals fear what would happen to them if they were to tell him the truth. This oblviousness may now work to Ukraine's advantage as Putin proceeds with plans that are no longer grounded in reality. JL
Dave Burke and Anthony Orrico report in The Express:
According to Western intelligence, Putin may believe he is on the winning side due to his generals presenting him with an overly "optimistic" picture of the war's progress. Putin maintains a belief in his victory and demands "completely unreasonable" conditions for the cessation of hostilities. Yet, expert analysis suggests that Putin's actual territorial gains are only "incremental" as Putin's forces have suffered one million casualties. Moreover, while Russian artillery once outnumbered Ukraine's by up to fifteen times, that advantage is now less than two-to-one. Oil revenues have fallen 'well below' the level required by Putin to sustain his military.
Russia has reportedly incurred approximately a million casualties since launching its invasion of Ukraine, leaving Russian President Vladimir Putin oblivious to the full extent of the losses his troops are facing.
According to Western intelligence, Putin may believe he is on the winning side due to his generals presenting him with an overly "optimistic" picture of the war's progress. The civilian economy in Russia is showing strain after three years of conflict, with oil revenues falling "well below" the levels required by Putin to sustain his military endeavors, say experts.

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/persecute -->> Did you know?
ReplyDeleteProsecute vs. Persecute
Take care to distinguish between prosecuted and persecuted, although we sincerely hope that neither word applies to you. Persecute typically has a small range of meanings, such as “to harass or punish in a manner designed to injure, grieve, or afflict.” Although the word is occasionally found in dialectal use to mean “prosecute,” many usage guides consider this to be an error. Prosecute is generally found today in a legal context (“to bring legal action against for redress or punishment of a crime or violation of law”), although the word may also be used to mean “to follow to the end” or “to engage in.” If someone is prosecuted they are being tried in a court of law; if they are persecuted they are being targeted and harassed.
The war is tense but Russia is never afraid of any country.
ReplyDelete