Letting go is hard under any circumstances. But letting go of success, especially spectacularly profitable and innovative success, is even more difficult.
For much of the past 130 years the name Kodak defined photography. We may all click away with phone cameras now, but we learned the rudiments, as did our parents and grandparents, with Kodak Instamatics. We figured out how to frame a shot, calculate the light, ask for the pose or arrange the background with those little boxes we could originally mail in - like Netflix! - or then drop off at a nearby by photo shop. The ease, simplicity and reward of something so memorable captured so personally changed the way we look at the world.
Kodak, as the following article explains, made something like a 700 percent markup on each roll of film. And we were grateful, even giddy, at the thought of paying it given what we received in return. There are those who say you cant put a price on memories, but Kodak sure came close.
And in that success lay the company's downfall. Because when the digital era arrived, no one wanted in a position of authority at Kodak wanted to let go. The future was uncertain. The profits couldnt be guaranteed. The margins that had funded growth, jobs, buildings, an entire city, might never again be realized. So they experimented while trying to double down on the hundred year old innovation that had created their company, their identity and their life.
Sometimes 20 percent of a market that's growing is better than 99 percent of a market that's dying. Which is the harsh lesson Kodak learned. Its patents, the key to that golden century, have now sold for cents on the dollar, fetching even less than the most pessimistic estimates. That's what happens when you're on the ropes and the whole world is watching. It would be comforting to think that with the distributive power of the internet, we have learned these lessons and are too smart and disciplined to let them happen again. But we would be foolish to believe that. JL
Kenny Suleimanagich reports in Medium:
A roll of film that cost one dollar to produce was marked up 700 percent, which
allowed the company to generate its enormous profits. This drove the company’s
growth but eventually it turned into a trap when managers, addicted
to the revenue, ignored clear signs that the market was shifting to digital and
the end of the old way was in sight.
The cold hits me as soon as I leave the
Amtrak station, stepping into a swirl of snow eddies that etch the low streets
in black and white.
The terminal sits just outside the city center. In the short car
ride into town, one building stands out to me from all the others. It is an
impressive beaux arts landmark with five large letters, glowing in red, resting
at the top:
K-O-D-A-K
George
Eastman invented casual photography here in the 1880s, made a fortune, and
built a small town into a city. Millions of people around the world “pressed the
button” and for more than a hundred years, Kodak “took care of the rest.”
At its peak, in 1996, Kodak was rated the fourth-most-valuable
global brand. That year, the company had about two-thirds of the global photo
market, annual revenues of $16 billion, and a market capitalization of $31
billion. At the time of its peak local employment, in 1982, the company had over 60,000
workers in Rochester, most of whom worked in Kodak Park, as it’s
known to employees and locals. The campus, a private city within the city,
sprawled over 120 acres with its own power plant and fire department, once stood
as a monument of imaging and innovation. Today it still stands, but vastly
scaled back from the days when film production was at the core of Kodak’s
work.
I traveled here in late January to see firsthand the slow,
unstoppable, excruciating decline.
With a bitter blizzard hammering down in upstate New York, a bankruptcy
judge had just approved a proposal to resolve a big chunk of Kodak’s $6.8
billion in debt and pave the way for it to emerge from Chapter 11 after more
than a year of insolvency. The company expects to finalize the process and exit
bankruptcy protection in the third quarter of this year.
I headed to a diner, and was immediately greeted with a banal
tableau of defeat — the first of many variations on the theme that unfolded
during my visit.
Two middle-aged men sit at the table next to mine. One wears a
KODAK PHOTOFINISHING PRODUCTS sweatshirt. He drowns his coffee in cream and
spoons in sugar while his friend peruses a headline in the Democrat and
Chronicle, a local paper. On the front page is news of the
sale of thousands of Kodak’s digital-imaging patents to a consortium led by
Apple, Google, and Microsoft. The price is a fraction of the $2
billion that Kodak executives thought the patents would bring, but it will
help buy time as the cash-poor company pursues its reorganization plan.
Among other things, Kodak CEO Antonio M. Perez is betting
his commercial-printing business on high-volume customers who need a lot of
ink, like product-packaging manufacturers. Even if this latest “pivot” is
successful — and a lot of people think it’s a stretch — the company would be
reduced to helping other people make the boxes used to ship the devices that
will take the photographs of the future.
There is a certain tone that former Kodak employees take whenever
I asked them about the 1980s and ‘90s, a time within easy memory when Kodak
ruled the film-imaging universe. It falls somewhere between baffled and
resigned, especially for those whose careers were curtailed by years of
fruitless restructuring.
I had come to Rochester to meet Ron Andrews, a chemical engineer
who was laid off in 2005 when the company first began to phase out the
film-manufacturing business he’d worked on for more than thirty years. The film
that he helped refine and develop, Kodachrome,
was finally discontinued in
2009. For nearly seventy-two years, Kodachrome was the crown jewel of the
color-film portfolio. Photojournalist
Steve McCurry used it to shoot the now-iconic June 1985 National
Geographic cover, an image of a wide-eyed Afghan girl. Today, it is
just another discontinued film stock.
Andrews calls himself a victim of “technological substitutions,”
but it is clear that he carries very deep and divided feelings about Kodak, both
the company where he had worked since graduating college in the early 1970s and
the company that stumbled and had no place for him in the end.
“In retrospect, it was probably a good time to leave,” he recalls
when we meet, in the lobby of the Radisson Hotel. “Everybody else was sitting
around plotting their endgame.”
Andrews was part of the old school of innovators that first made
possible the “Kodak Moment” — optical engineers and mechanics, who built
cameras, and chemists, who manipulated molecules that froze light and fixed it
in gelatin and paper.
By the late-twentieth century, molecules were at the heart of
Kodak’s business, so much so that its chemical division — divested in 1993 —
continues as an R & D and earnings powerhouse today, with
$8.6 billion in revenues in 2012.
Chemistry was work that Eastman himself, with one foot still
planted in the nineteenth century, well understood. Over the span of about a
decade, the Kodak founder invented the first practical roll film and then built
the first cameras that could reliably use it. Never again would photography be a
cumbersome process, the domain of professionals only.
In his original patent, he wrote that his improvements applied to
“that class of photographic apparatus known as ‘detective cameras,’ ” —
concealed and disguised devices, made possible by a new wave of miniaturization,
that were used mostly for a lowbrow entertainment: snapping pictures of people
unaware. Cameras equipped with single-use chemical plates were hidden in opera
glasses, umbrellas, and other everyday objects, and sharing the surreptitious,
random, and sometimes compromising photos that resulted became a popular
fad.
Eastman, in other words, was obsessively tinkering with what many
people at the time would have considered a cheap novelty or a toy. Like Netflix
in its early days, Kodak relied on the U.S. Postal Service: Customers sent their
spent cameras to Rochester, where the film was removed, processed, and cut into
frames; the resulting negatives and prints, along with the camera, reloaded with
a fresh roll of film, were returned to the sender. Suddenly it was easy for
anyone to take lots of pictures, and Eastman’s new business became a juggernaut
almost overnight.
About ninety years later, another tinkerer in Kodak labs would
create an integrated circuit that turned light waves into digital images. It too
would be labeled a toy by the few people who saw it. It too would eventually
launch a huge new business all but overnight. But this time, Kodak wouldn’t be
part of it.
How is it that big, established companies fail to recognize and
seize new opportunities? When I first started wondering about this problem and
what had happened at Kodak, I e-mailed Raymond DeMoulin.
DeMoulin started “at the lowest rung” at Kodak in 1954 and
eventually rose to become vice president of professional imaging from 1986
through 1993. He has long been identified as an early — though mostly ignored —
advocate of the digital-imaging revolution inside the company.
Dubbed “Saint Raymond” — in earnest or ironically, depending on
who’s talking — DeMoulin retired more than a decade ago. But he’s continued to
follow the news at Kodak from a distance, and he has expressed some voluble
opinions.
Through DeMoulin, Andrews, and several other former Kodak
engineers and scientists, I began piecing together an oral history — sourced
from the largely overlooked circle of Kodak’s original digital innovators — of
what may be one of the greatest gambits in the history of technology to have
been declined; whisked away by executives in denial of the impending doom for
film photography.
In the course of our correspondence, DeMoulin sent me copies of
two business reports he’d written going over Kodak’s collapse in a
point-by-point analysis.
“They were in denial all the way,” he says. “They didn’t want to
give up a 90 percent market in film to have a 10 to 20 percent market in
consumer electronics.”
Kodak’s worship of film is still alive and well and on display at
the George Eastman House Museum. Situated in the picturesque old Park Place
neighborhood of Rochester, it stands in stark juxtaposition to the derelict and
demolished buildings of Kodak Park. Eastman House has a large
collection, covering most of the key photographic advances over more than a
century of innovations, many of them by Kodak: the first 16-millimeter movie
camera; a plethora of the Brownie and Instamatic models; the device used by NASA
to take the first photographs of Earth from outer space.
Two oddballs stand out. One, the Nikon DCS-100, is an old
film SLR outfitted with a fat electronic umbilical cord attaching it to a grey
box — a storage device that, aside from the tininess of tiny capacity, isn’t
that much different in principle from the one in a smartphone today. The other,
a Canon, has a built-in attachment serving the same purpose that about doubles
its usual size.
They’re examples of the first marketable digital cameras, and
Kodak designed them both.
In an early 1980s interview with the Democrat and
Chronicle, then CEO Colby
Chandler was asked to predict where he saw Kodak in ten, twenty-five, and
fifty years. Uncertain, he responded that Kodak’s work had always been with the
“miracle of the molecule,” and it would continue to be in the future. In fact,
images were already being organized as bits of information and the molecule was,
inexorably, on its way out.
The tipping point had come years earlier, in 1975.
That year, Steve Sasson was a 25 year-old electrical engineer
working in Kodak’s Photographic Research Laboratory. His assignment was not
considered pressing or significant to anyone but himself, his team, and his
supervisor: the task was to find a way for captured light to be converted into
an electronic signal with a numeric, or digital, value.
To many people at Kodak who were not involved with the project,
Sasson’s camera looked more like a device built by a hobbyist, recalls Robert
Shanebrook, a retired Kodak employee who worked near the research lab at the
time. It was impressive and interesting, they thought, but it was a toy, like
their Instamatic plastic cameras. “Electronic photography was certainly paid
attention to by some, but many didn’t think much of it,” he recalls.
Analysts have pointed to a number of factors in Kodak’s fall,
from general mismanagement to poor financial decisions. Its divestiture of
Eastman Chemical stripped billions in cash flow that might have propped it up as
it struggled to make the transition to digital. Others point to antitrust suits
that hampered the company for decades and opened the door to rivals. Some of
those, notably
Fuji, were able to manage the analog-to-digital conversion successfully.
To the people in the trenches, like DeMoulin, the failure always
comes back to the same key error: Kodak, they say, suffered from a fundamental
breakdown between, on one side the engineers and tinkerers — many of whom saw
the digital future clearly and fought to bring it forth — and on the other the
top management, whose interest remained fixed on molecules and the miracle of
near-monopoly profits.
DeMoulin told me about watching a team in 1980 demonstrate a
scanner-printer that converted film images to digital. “That’s when I thought:
This digital thing is going to happen,” he recalls. His place at the helm of the
professional-imaging division allowed him to autonomously invest in developing a
digital still camera, and he says he pursued that vision, despite lukewarm
support from the company.
“Very few companies have been successful in straying away from
the expertise of its employees,” says Andrews, who works today as a senior
engineer at Bausch and Lomb. Many Kodak alumni, like Andrews, found work at
smaller tech-based companies that
filled the employment vacuum and averted a repeat of Detroit and the
automobile industry.
As demand for electronic photography slowly grew through the
1980s, the Electronic Photography Division (EPD) became the catchall for a new
generation of Kodak engineers trained not in chemicals, but computer science.
Engineers like Bruce Rubin began working at EPD in 1987, when printers and film
scanners were being developed to transmit data through telecommunication
channels; these devices were part of how the Tiananmen Square photographs were
leaked.
But as exciting as the work was, it led to frustration and a
disconnect between executives and employees. “One of the things that always
drove me crazy,” Rubin remembers, “was when a proposal was denied because either
somebody else was doing it, or nobody else was doing it. There was no wiggle
room…[unless] Fuji was doing it too.”
Peter Sucy, another computer engineer at Kodak, describes the
rarity of computers in the workplace in the late 1980s. “Almost no one had a
computer at their desk,” he recalls. When the Macintosh II was announced, packed
with new state-of-the-art features, he had to buy one himself. With a $3,000
price tag, it allowed him to do things with images he could not do before,
including digital photo editing. Based on those exhilarating experiences, he
began making proposals for products that could expand Kodak’s reach in digital
platforms.
Sucy’s biggest hurdle, he asserts, was the head of marketing at
EPD, who exemplified the disconnect between manager and engineer. “He used an
Underwood typewriter to send out weekly missives,” Sucy recalls. “He told my
boss to tell me to stop writing computer proposals, because Kodak would never be
a computer peripheral company…not on his watch, at least.”
Undeterred, Sucy continued developing products using a
clandestine approach, giving them code names that “didn’t sound like computer
products.”
The subterfuge helped them bring some experimental products to
market, but then they encountered a new problem they hadn’t expected: No matter
what they came up with, nothing digital would sell. To consumers, everything was
too expensive, and to professionals, the quality was not yet good enough. “It
was a difficult thing to market,” Sucy admits, “especially for people who didn’t
have any kind of experience marketing this kind of product; people who didn’t
really know what it did.”
In the end, being early did not help, because the market simply
wasn’t ready. As obvious as the endgame was, Kodak’s leaders were faced with an
unwinnable predicament: either keep investing in end-of-life products until the
profits dried up — and die over the long run; or switch to stillborn product
lines that produced mostly red ink in the ledgers — and die immediately.
Chris Anderson, former editor in chief of Wired and
founder of 3D Robotics, a designer of DIY drone kits, has written extensively
about business models in the digital age. I asked Anderson about his thoughts on
Kodak’s bankruptcy, and told him about the Electronic Photography Division, how
the engineers had developed a four-megapixel sensor by the late 1980s. How did
Kodak fail to convert such a massive head start into success?
“Who could afford that?” Anderson fired back, unimpressed. “Macs
were really expensive. Computing technology couldn’t have kept up until much
later.”
When Kodak finally entered consumer photography in force, at the
end of the 1990s, it did so as a dominant brand in a growing market. They
produced cameras that were forerunners technologically and in 2003 were best
sellers — but, crushingly, had
to sell them to consumers at a loss of up to sixty dollars apiece.
The company threw its remaining R & D muscle at a dizzying
array of digital-imaging technologies and products, notably scanners and
printers. Though Kodak was still loaded with cash and patents, it now needed a
hit product to push it back into profitability, a situation that led it to
attempt ever more desperate strategies. The depressing reality is painfully visible on YouTube. In
videos posted of building demolitions in Kodak Park from the late 2000s, chipper
executives doggedly proclaim a bright future ahead during festivities attended
by crowds of locals who came to witness the creation of rubble and dust.
Not everyone felt like partying.
“As a Kodak retiree who worked in Building 9 as well as many
others in Kodak Park…I see no reason to celebrate the destruction of what was
once a Fortune 500 company asset,” comments Harry Trulli in an online post about
one well-attended blast. “I want to cry when I think of the future of our
country.”
Instead of finding new opportunities, Kodak faced even more
disruption as the consumer
camera market moved into phones, and nimble start-ups pounced on social
photo-sharing opportunities. In a matter of months, Instagram went from start-up
to Facebook acquisition with a valuation of $1 billion— more than twenty-five
times Kodak’s recent market capitalization of about $40 million.
“Even if Kodak went into [digital] wholeheartedly, things would
remain the same,” says Anderson. “It’s a fact that they were too early, and
inevitably doomed.”
The day I left Rochester, the blizzard was spent and the city was
returning to its quotidian hum. From my seat on the train, the Kodak Tower
loomed tall in the window overlooking the city, much as it must when it was
first built, in 1916. As we pulled away from the station, it blended before long
into the newer buildings around it, and disappeared.
As a Partner and Co-Founder of Predictiv and PredictivAsia, Jon specializes in management performance and organizational effectiveness for both domestic and international clients. He is an editor and author whose works include Invisible Advantage: How Intangilbles are Driving Business Performance. Learn more...
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