A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Nov 21, 2014

Would You Buy a $99 PC From Walmart?

There are probably three strong emotional reactions to the proposition that Walmart is going to sell $99 Windows Nextbook 8s starting on Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving: 

'I wouldn't buy anything not made by Apple;'

'I wouldn't buy anything from Walmart;'

'Should I get on line now?'

The reality is that a lot of people would love to have a PC but the economics and convenience of smartphones have made them the de facto computers of the current era. Especially in countries where the daily household income is less than many Americans pay for a grande half-caff soy pumpkin latte.

This is in all probability a stop-gap measure to help slow the rate of descent for PC sales until a more attractive alternative emerges. The growing size of smartphone screens suggests where this is headed, but maybe something more creative is coming like collapsible/bendable (and even disposable?).

For much of the work that needs to be done in an office-like setting (since offices are expensive, having the common people work from their own homes is an increasingly attractive alternative) a PC is much more productive and efficient than challenging your eye-hand coordination on a phone. And as long as that remains true, there will be a market for PCs - and someone will try to fill it inexpensively and conveniently. JL

David Goldman reports in CNN/Money:

It has no built in mouse or keyboard, the processor isn't great, and it only has 16 GB of memory. But super low prices are helping drive moribund PC sales significantly higher.
The Nextbook 8, a PC tablet that runs the latest version of Microsoft Windows, will be available for just $99 on Black Friday at Wal-Mart (WMT). It is currently selling for $149.
There are some tradeoffs to buying a $99 Windows PC tablet -- it has no built in mouse or keyboard, the processor isn't great, and it only has 16 GB of memory. But the good news for consumers is that PCs are hitting bargain basement prices across the board.
The average selling price for Windows PCs during the last three weeks of October was $430, according to NPD. That's the lowest pricing for Windows computers in history. Prices were about 10% higher during the same time last year.


Those super-low prices are helping drive moribund PC sales significantly higher.
PC sales were up 16% over last year in the first week of October, all driven by sub-$300 PCs, NPD said.
"Black Friday pricing has clearly come very early to the Windows notebook market," said Stephen Baker, PC analyst at NPD, in a blog post. "The real question is what does the Windows PC market look like when we come out of the holiday season?"
Microsoft (MSFT, Tech30) has been subsidizing some PC prices to make them more competitive against Google's Chromebooks. Google's (GOOGL, Tech30) laptops only connect to the Web, but the increasingly popular devices can be had for as low as $150.
Meanwhile, Apple (AAPL, Tech30) took its highest share of the U.S. PC market in its history last quarter, after it sold 5.5 million Macintosh computers.
But NPD's Baker notes that Microsoft might be shooting itself in the foot with its extremely aggressive pricing. Sales of Windows laptops that cost more than $300 have fallen 10% in the past three weeks. That means fewer customers are buying the more expensive touchscreen laptops and tablet/laptop hybrids that make Windows products stand out from the competition.


That's why Baker forecasts "a significantly weaker PC business, less able to support Windows 10, less able to compete with a surging Macbook market, and less able to clearly differentiate what makes a PC a compelling choice against a tablet or a smartphone."

0 comments:

Post a Comment