A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Jun 12, 2017

How Come Tech Stocks Are Collapsing?

'The pause that refreshes,' or something more substantial and sinister?

There have been concerns about the basis for this latest bubble. And as has happened in the past with fragile bull markets, it may be that something as seemingly innocuous as one analyst's report that could create panic. JL


Samuel Potter reports in Bloomberg and Aaron Pressman reports in Fortune:

(There) had been warning about the prominence of the big five for the past few weeks, comparing the situation to prior bubbles like the rise of Internet stocks in the late 1990s. "I just wonder how many people have said to themselves, 'If AMZN gets to $1,000, I’m going to take at least some profits.'" The question now is whether the drops represent merely a pause or a more fundamental crack in the U.S. stock bull market.
Bloomberg: U.S. technology shares resumed losses after Friday’s rout spread to Asia and Europe on concern the group had risen too far too quickly. The pound retreated as an embattled Theresa May fought to survive the fallout from the British general election.
The Nasdaq 100 Index pushed its two-day loss past 3 percent, the biggest since the Brexit vote. Samsung Electronics Co., ASML Holding NV and Tencent Holdings Ltd. were among companies leading declines in Europe and Asia. The question now is whether the drops represent merely a pause or a more fundamental crack in the U.S. stock bull market.

Fortune: Top performing technology stocks plummeted on Friday afternoon after a leading investment bank warned that share prices of companies like Apple, Amazon, and Facebook had risen too quickly.
At the close of trading, shares of Apple were down 4%, lopping more than $30 billion from the market capitalization of the world's most valuable company. Shares of Google parent Alphabet were down 3%, as were shares of Facebook and Amazon. Microsoft slipped 2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq index, which is dominated by the five stocks, was down almost 2%.
Investors have been growing increasingly uneasy about the skyrocketing value of the largest tech companies, but Friday's sell-off appears to have been sparked by a report from Goldman Sachs chief investment officer Robert Bouroujerdi warning of the growing risks on those five leading tech stocks. Almost 40% of the gain in the entire Standard & Poor's 500 Index this year is attributable to the five tech stocks, even though they make up only 13% of the index's market value, he wrote.
"Five companies poised to dominate disruption – Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet – have added a total of $600 billion of market cap this year or the equivalent GDP of Hong Kong and South Africa combined," Bouroujerdi noted. "Parallels to the 'Nifty-fifty' and 1999-2000 are growing as their performance is even more pronounced on a risk-adjusted basis."

Other had been warning about the prominence of the big five for the past few weeks, comparing the situation to prior bubbles like the rise of Internet stocks in the late 1990s. At the end of May, Miller Tabak's analyst Matt Maley raised the comparison and wrote: "I just wonder how many people have said to themselves, 'If AMZN gets to $1,000, I’m going to take at least some profits.'"
Amazon first reached the $1,000 level in mid-day trading in late May and closed for the first time over $1,000 on June 2.
Friday's sell-off came after months of strong returns in the tech sector. While the S&P 500 was up just 9% so far this year, Apple (aapl, -5.74%) was up 34% this year as of June 7, Bouroujerdi noted. Google (googl, -3.88%) was up 26%, Amazon (amzn, -4.30%) 35%, Facebook (fb, -4.06%) 33%, and Microsoft (msft, -4.03%) 16%.
But the afternoon sell-off hit many more stocks than just the big five. Among semiconductor companies, Nvidia (nvda, -8.67%) lost 6%, Intel (intc, -2.14%) as down 2% and AMD (amd, -8.29%) dropped 5%. Netflix (nflx, -6.55%) lost 5%, Salesforce.com (crm, -4.36%) was off 4% and Tesla (tsla, -3.19%) fell 3%.

0 comments:

Post a Comment