A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Oct 22, 2017

Robots Are Coming For These Wall Street Jobs

The real masters of the universe are, increasingly, machines. JL

Saijel Kishan and colleagues report in Bloomberg:

Wall Street is entering a new era. The fraternity of bond jockeys, derivatives mavens and stock pickers who've long personified the industry are giving way to algorithms, and soon, artificial intelligence. Hedge funds and asset managers are using predictive analytics for tasks such as timing stock purchases and assessing risk based on market liquidity. Computers are also digesting vast data sets -- everything from car registrations to oil-drilling concessions -- to help predict how stocks will perform.


Traders, prepare to adapt.
Wall Street is entering a new era. The fraternity of bond jockeys, derivatives mavens and stock pickers who've long personified the industry are giving way to algorithms, and soon, artificial intelligence.
Banks and investment funds have been tinkering for years, prompting anxiety for employees. Now, firms are rolling out machine-learning software to suggest bets, set prices and craft hedges. The tools will relieve staff of routine tasks and offer an edge to those who stay. But one day, machines may not need much help. It's no wonder most of the jobs Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s securities business posted online in recent months were for tech talent. Billionaire trader Steven Cohen is experimenting with automating his top money managers. Venture capitalist Marc Andreessen has said 100,000 financial workers aren’t needed to keep money flowing.
This map of trading automation is based on interviews with about a dozen senior banking and investing executives on Wall Street, many of whom focus on adopting new tech. It offers a sense of their projects -- some of them just starting -- that will affect traders within big firms.
key ALREADY USING EXPERIMENTING POSSIBLE WON’T GET THERE
ML = Machine Learning NLP = Natural-Language Processing RPA = Robotic Process Automation PA = Predictive Analytics

SELL SIDE / CREDIT

The art of dealing in bonds and more bespoke types of credit has proven far more challenging for computers than their much-faster takeover of stock exchanges. Infrequent or opaque trading left humans to negotiate prices, and banks must carefully juggle holdings to minimize the burden on balance sheets. Advancements in natural-language processing, data collection and machine learning are helping to overcome hurdles.
swatches
CREDIT/SALES CREDIT/TRADING ML NLP ML
CREDIT/SALES CREDIT/TRADING ML NLP ML
CREDIT/SALES CREDIT/TRADING ML NLP ML
CREDIT/TRADING CREDIT/SALES ML NLP ML
CREDIT/TRADING CREDIT/SALES ML NLP ML
Justin Chin/Bloomberg

SELL SIDE / RATES AND FX

The long-running shift to electronic currency trading is getting an upgrade. Firms are tapping big data and machine learning to anticipate client demand and price swings. Software also is helping to design and manage banks' inventory of more complex rate swaps and currency derivatives.
RATES/TRADING RATES/SALES FX/TRADING FX/SALES ML ML NLP NLP RPA ML
RATES/TRADING RATES/SALES FX/TRADING FX/SALES ML ML NLP NLP RPA ML
RATES/TRADING RATES/SALES FX/TRADING FX/SALES ML ML NLP NLP RPA ML
FX/SALES FX/TRADING RATES/TRADING RATES/SALES ML ML NLP NLP RPA ML
FX/TRADING RATES/TRADING FX/SALES RATES/SALES ML ML NLP NLP RPA ML
Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg

SELL SIDE / COMMODITIES AND SECURITIZATION

From highly liquid contracts tied to assets like gold and oil to the physical commodities themselves, the diverse world of commodities doesn't always lend itself to automation. So banks are working on cataloging trader and salesperson conversations to create profiles of clients to help better anticipate their desires.
SECURITIZATION/TRADING SECURITIZATION/SALES COMMODITIES/SALES COMMODITIES/TRADING ML NLP ML
COMMODITIES/SALES COMMODITIES/TRADING SECURITIZATION/TRADING SECURITIZATION/SALES ML NLP ML
SECURITIZATION/TRADING SECURITIZATION/SALES COMMODITIES/SALES COMMODITIES/TRADING ML NLP ML
COMMODITIES/TRADING SECURITIZATION/TRADING SECURITIZATION/SALES COMMODITIES/SALES ML NLP ML
COMMODITIES/TRADING COMMODITIES/SALES SECURITIZATION/SALES SECURITIZATION/TRADING ML NLP ML

SELL SIDE / EQUITIES

Equities trading, which shifted decades ago to electronic platforms, is one of the first testing grounds for using artificial intelligence to execute orders.
PRIME SERVICES/SALES PRIME SERVICES/TRADING CASH/SALES CASH/TRADING DERIVATIVES/SALES DERIVATIVES/TRADING NLP RPA ML ML NLP RPA
PRIME SERVICES/SALES PRIME SERVICES/TRADING CASH/SALES CASH/TRADING DERIVATIVES/SALES DERIVATIVES/TRADING NLP RPA NLP RPA ML ML
DERIVATIVES/TRADING PRIME SERVICES/SALES PRIME SERVICES/TRADING CASH/SALES CASH/TRADING DERIVATIVES/SALES NLP RPA NLP RPA ML ML
DERIVATIVES/TRADING CASH/SALES CASH/TRADING DERIVATIVES/SALES PRIME SERVICES/SALES PRIME SERVICES/TRADING NLP RPA NLP RPA ML ML
PRIMESERVICES/TRADING DERIVATIVES/TRADING PRIMESERVICES/SALES DERIVATIVES/SALES CASH/SALES CASH/TRADING ML ML NLP RPA NLP RPA
Michael Nagle/Bloomberg; Martin Leissl/Bloomberg

BUY SIDE / EQUITIES

Hedge funds and asset managers are using predictive analytics for tasks such as timing stock purchases and assessing risk based on market liquidity. Computers are also digesting vast data sets -- everything from car registrations to oil-drilling concessions -- to help predict how stocks will perform.
EQUITIES/PORTFOLIO MANAGER EQUITIES/ANALYST BUILD MODELON SECURITY ONGOING RESEARCH PITCH TRADE IDEAS IDENTIFYTRADES PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITOR TRADES EXECUTION ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
EQUITIES/PORTFOLIO MANAGER EQUITIES/ANALYST BUILD MODELON SECURITY ONGOINGRESEARCH PITCH TRADEIDEAS IDENTIFYTRADES PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITOR TRADES TRADEEXECUTION ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
EQUITIES/PORTFOLIO MANAGER EQUITIES/ANALYST BUILD MODELON SECURITY ONGOINGRESEARCH PITCH TRADEIDEAS IDENTIFYTRADES PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITORTRADES TRADEEXECUTION ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
EQUITIES/PORTFOLIO MANAGER EQUITIES/ANALYST BUILD MODELON SECURITY ONGOINGRESEARCH PITCHTRADEIDEAS IDENTIFYTRADES PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITORTRADES TRADEEXECUTION ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
EQUITIES/PORTFOLIO MANAGER IDENTIFYTRADES PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITORTRADES TRADEEXECUTION ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA EQUITIES/ANALYST BUILD MODELON SECURITY ONGOINGRESEARCH PITCH TRADEIDEAS ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
Fabrice Dimier/Bloomberg

BUY SIDE / CREDIT

Vast spreadsheets, such as breakdowns of mortgages packed into bonds, are nothing new for credit funds. But some are teaching computers to scan and understand a much larger universe of bond covenants, legal documents and court rulings. Still, fully automating analysis of contract and illiquid assets underpinning securities in opaque markets remains a challenge, for now.
CREDIT/PORTFOLIO MANAGER CREDIT/ANALYST ONGOINGRESEARCH BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCH TRADE IDEAS TRADE EXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITOR TRADES IDENTIFYTRADES ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA
CREDIT/PORTFOLIO MANAGER CREDIT/ANALYST ONGOINGRESEARCH BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADE IDEAS TRADE EXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITOR TRADES IDENTIFYTRADES ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA
CREDIT/PORTFOLIO MANAGER CREDIT/ANALYST ONGOINGRESEARCH BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADE IDEAS TRADEEXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITOR TRADES IDENTIFYTRADES ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA
CREDIT/PORTFOLIO MANAGER CREDIT/ANALYST ONGOINGRESEARCH BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADEIDEAS TRADEEXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITORTRADES IDENTIFYTRADES ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA
CREDIT/PORTFOLIO MANAGER TRADEEXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MONITORTRADES IDENTIFYTRADES CREDIT/ANALYST ONGOINGRESEARCH BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADE IDEAS ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA

BUY SIDE / MACRO

Firms are trying to build economists. They're toying with natural-language processing to sift central bank commentary for clues on future monetary policy. They’re also experimenting with algorithms that scour far-flung data, like oil-tanker shipments from the Middle East or satellite images of Chinese industrial sites, to forecast growth.
MACRO/PORTFOLIO MANAGER MACRO/ANALYST BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADE IDEAS ONGOING RESEARCH IDENTIFYTRADES MONITORTRADES TRADEEXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
MACRO/PORTFOLIO MANAGER MACRO/ANALYST BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADE IDEAS ONGOING RESEARCH IDENTIFYTRADES MONITORTRADES TRADEEXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
MACRO/PORTFOLIO MANAGER BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADE IDEAS ONGOING RESEARCH IDENTIFYTRADES MONITORTRADES TRADEEXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MACRO/ANALYST ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
MACRO/PORTFOLIO MANAGER BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADE IDEAS ONGOINGRESEARCH IDENTIFYTRADES MONITORTRADES TRADEEXECUTION PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION MACRO/ANALYST ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
MACRO/PORTFOLIO MANAGER MONITORTRADES PORTFOLIOCONSTRUCTION BUILD MODELON SECURITY PITCHTRADE IDEAS ONGOING RESEARCH MACRO/ANALYST TRADEEXECUTION IDENTIFYTRADES ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA ML PA NLP ML PA NLP ML PA NLP
Matthew Lloyd/Bloomberg

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