A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Aug 4, 2018

The Future Is Ear: Why Hearables Are Tech's Next Big Thing

Eyes are so 2017. JL

Peter Burrows reports in Fast Company:

Amazon, Apple, and Google each are working on products that combine the utility of the hearing aid with the entertainment value of high-end headphones. Since all three have announced plans to get into healthcare, they could easily add fitness and health monitoring sensors for everything from counting steps to measuring oxygen saturation. None want to be left behind should it become possible to create a general purpose, in-ear computer that allows consumers to leave their phone in the desk drawer.

Why E-sports Has a Serious Match-Fixing Problem

In a word: gambling. JL

Chris Godfrey reports in The Guardian:

The epicentres of eSports are south-east Asia, so China and South Korea in particular, and the US – the two biggest illegal gambling places in the world. "There’s a lot of suspicious betting activity in eSports ... there’s strong evidence of match-fixing, whereas there’s currently no evidence of doping.”The hyper-digital nature of eSports means players are a lot more integrated than athletes in traditional sports, meaning they’re able to communicate – and collude – more easily. Players are a lot closer to the gamblers, too. “You see a lot of communication between professionals and big punters on these sites,

Although Amazon Grabs Half of Every Dollar Spent On the Internet, It's Not Always the Best

What does best even mean?

Especially if you're the biggest by far. The issue may be like obscure soccer or baseball statistics; important only to the cognoscenti.

But there are metrics of some significance at which Amazon is outperformed by rivals. And that may matter. Someday. JL

Matthew Boyle reports in Bloomberg:

What matters most to web retailers are three things: Traffic, engagement and conversion. Amazon gets more visits in a typical month than EBay, Walmart, Target, Best Buy, Macy’s and Costco combined. EBay and Costco both have lower bounce rates than Amazon. For Walmart, half its visitors leave after viewing one page says its shoppers aren’t as engaged. 7 out of 10 online shopping trips end with no purchase made. Amazon converts shoppers into buyers better than its main rivals, and it’s not even close.

Rent-the-Runway Bet On the Death of Clothing Ownership. Now It's Doubling Down

The financial and stylistic advantages of renting versus owning have morphed from automobiles to clothing.

A larger question may be which industry it will affect next. JL


Jason Del Rey reports in Re/code:

Over its first six-plus years, Rent the Runway grew to do one thing very well: Rent out designer dresses to women for special occasions. In 2016, it unveiled a clothing rental subscription with the belief that working women would gravitate to the choice and flexibility that would come with a rotating wardrobe. Today, it’s doubling down.(It) plans to expand the selection of clothing available to subscribers and invest in its logistics to improve the speed of sending out new orders and dealing with returns.

For eBay, Artificial Intelligence Drives Over $1 Billion In Sales Per Quarter

And those are incremental sales, ie, sales that would not have happened otherwise.

Because it is driving better understanding of customer preferences and search optimization. JL

Matt Marshall reports in Venture Beat:

eBay says AI-powered improvements in its search rankings, knowledge of its inventory, and other areas are driving more than $1 billion per quarter in incremental sales. AI and ML are driving incremental sales that wouldn’t otherwise have happened, he said, citing in particular AI used for search ranking, inventory understanding, buyer intent, and personalization.

Why Big Tech, Even After Recent Stumbles, Is Strong As Ever

Yes, Facebook looked briefly into the abyss, but from a very high financial and operational perch. Even Microsoft and IBM are recovering.

Software and services are dominating the economy as well as our lives, regulation is de minimus, and they could still grow. JL


Farhad Manjoo reports in the New York Times:

At the heart of the supposed “techlash”: It is not making a dent in the tech giants’ financial performance. Over the last two weeks, each of the five reported earnings that were brimming with fantastic news. The earning statements tell a clear story. Despite the public outcry, the five are expanding their foothold in our lives, and the forces arrayed against them, which range from regulation to apathy, aren’t having a substantial impact. To the extent that the five face competition, it is from other members of the group;

Aug 3, 2018

Surprising? 63% of Business Travelers Tip Uber and Lyft Drivers

Surprising that so many tip - or so few - given that most business travelers are reimbursed for such expenses?  JL

Chris McGinnis reports in the San Francisco Chronicle:

Business travelers spend more per ride on Uber than Lyft -- $26 vs. $22.37 in the second quarter of this year. And when they DO tip the driver, the Uber riders gave more – an average of $4.24 vs $3.46 for Lyft.

Coders Create An AI To Help You Suck Less At Video Games

Priorities in research. JL

Tristan Greene reports in The Next Web:

There have been other efforts to make tutorials for games using AI, but this is the first that creates a playable scene with the intent of teaching humans the game’s mechanics. The work was inspired by a hypothesis: if a perfectly trained AI player can beat a scene, and one whose training is missing a specific mechanic cannot, then that scene could act as a tutorial for that mechanic. Unfortunately, much like some human developers, much of what it designs is unplayable by novices because it requires pixel-perfect control and superhuman reflexes.

Which Companies Lost the Most Fake Followers In the Twitter Bot Purge?

Big tech companies lost the most. But other notables includes Starbucks, Whole Foods, Victoria Beckham Ltd, The New York Times, ESPN, CNN, Zappos and Martha Stewart.

It is...curious...that among the companies which gained followers were Chinese cell phone maker Xiaomi, the State Bank of India and a variety of cryto-currency related enterprises. Which may tell us something about who was supporting all those bots, listed above. JL


Craft reports in Price Economics:

Twitter more than 7 million followers. No other company even comes close. The only other companies to lose more than a million followers are Alphabet’s  YouTube, Facebook’s Instagram and Yes Bank.

How Dynamic Work Design Optimizes Performance In Digital Age Offices

Since the very nature of work has changed it stands to reason that using industrial-age organizational and managerial principles may need updating as well. JL


Kara Baskin reports in MIT Sloan Management Review:

Physical work is easy to track because it’s visible, usually repetitive, and easy to see. Creative work is invisible and more variable, so workflow is harder to monitor. The trick is to make invisible work visible so it can be systemized. Visual management techniques, as simple as post-it notes on a work board — to give a physical face to intellectual work. Giving invisible work this physical manifestation makes it easier to monitor the progress of work as it moves through the organization from idea to physical or intellectual product.

Online Lenders and Payment Apps Get US Permission To Act More Like Banks

More money available from more sources - but the risk of more fraud and predatory lending.

In an economy already awash in capital looking for investment opportunities it is not clear this will change the game. But given the lock the big tech companies have on the digital world, it could provide more impetus for smaller businesses. JL

Stacy Cowley reports in the New York Times:

Online lenders and other so-called fintech firms — including the payment processor Square, the online lender Lending Club and the cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase — have pressed for regulatory routes that would free such companies from the state-by-state approvals they currently need to offer loans and other financial products. “Giving national bank charters to nonbank lenders could open the floodgates to a wide range of predatory actors but I don’t think we’re going to see a sudden sea change. There’s still substantive questions about the requirements.

Why the Future of Artificial Intelligence Depends on Trust

Scaling any new technology requires a belief on the part of customers that its benefits outweigh its costs. This has become increasingly important as questions have grown about the impact data misuse and the capture of personal information consumers never realized was being gathered let alone for which they gave their permission. And those were for technologies happily and eagerly embraced by the public.

On the contrary, much of the early narrative about AI has been negative:that it will eliminate jobs, manipulate behavior and challenge human hegemony. To overcome those concerns, the enterprises that successfully deploy AI will need to be proactive in sharing more information than they might wish about how it works - and be willing to make changes as the interaction evolves. JL


Anand Rao and Euan Cameron report in Strategy +Business:

Opening the black box in which some complex AI models have previously functioned will require companies to ensure that for any AI system, the machine-learning model performs to the standards the business requires, and that company leaders can justify the outcomes. Those that do will help reduce risks and establish the trust required for AI to become a truly accepted means of spurring innovation and achieving business goals.

Aug 2, 2018

Could Bitcoin's Inherent Economics Keep It From Ever Being Very Important?

The data suggest that its structure and the economic incentives tied to that may limit its future growth. JL


Mike Orcutt reports in MIT Technology Review:

A new paper examines Bitcoin’s incentive system and concludes there are “intrinsic economic limits to how economically important it can become.” Bitcoin’s market capitalization over the last year has oscillated between $100 billion and $200 billion. Gold stock is worth $7.5 trilllion. Although Bitcoin’s value could theoretically increase without end, the blockchain’s security can increase only linearly, as more mining power is added to the network.

The Reason Uber Is Shutting Its Driverless Truck Unit

Self-driving trucks were supposed to be the immediate future of autonomous vehicle development.

But the lawsuit settlement with Waymo procluded the use of arguably purloined technology and the departure of Uber's recently acquired driverless leadership team. Which made it apparent that the opportunity was no longer within reach, especially compared to the auto development effort. America's approximately 3 million truck drivers can breathe a sigh of relief. For now. JL


Kirsten Korosec reports in Tech Crunch:

Uber enjoyed a moment of glory (when) a self-driving truck drove 120 highway miles along a route in Colorado with a trailer full of Budweiser. (But) Waymo (filed a lawsuit) contending that Otto and Uber were using key parts of its self-driving technology, specifically related to LiDAR. Anthony Levandowski and three other founders left. Uber agreed to not incorporate Waymo’s confidential information into their hardware and software.The company may return to self-driving trucks, but only after it has developed the foundation of the self-driving system.

Study: Airbnb Can Benefit Local Economies - But Mostly In White Neighbrhoods

Market effects are what they are.

The larger issue then, is whether Airbnb should direct investment in order to generate broader growth and more positive overall economic impact or risk tighter regulation. JL


Tracy Jan reports in the Washington Post:

White neighborhoods – not their black or Latino counterparts – are most likely to benefit from Airbnb guests. The study found users of the home sharing platform eat in the neighborhood restaurants near where they are staying. The spillover effect does not hold true when 50% or more of a neighborhood’s residents are black or Hispanic. Black hosts earn 12% less than non-black hosts with comparable rentals.

Identifying Amazon's Secret Advantage In Uncontested Markets

While Amazon is famous for its domination of obvious markets like ecommerce and cloud storage, taking advantage of little known and uncontested market niches generate considerable profits. JL


Mike Mallazzo reports in The Next Web:

Amazon’s website crashed on its most important day of the year and the market only punished the company with the daintiest possible slap on the wrist. Amazon has pocketed billions in revenue over the years from one-click shopping; The code is so simple that the EU declared it too obvious to patent. For retailers, 65% of the traffic from commerce content goes directly to Amazon without competition, resulting in $27 billion of annual revenue. Referrals from content drive 650 million shoppers to Amazon every month, making up about 20% of Amazon’s monthly traffic.

How Much of the US Electric Grid Could Go the Way of the Landline Phone

Generating electricity is becoming less profitable, opening the market to innovators, who may be marginally less expensive but considerably more efficient. JL


Nick Stockton reports in Wired:

Making electricity is becoming a less profitable business. Investor-owned utilities that represent half the US grid’s electrical load saw the effective cost of generating one megawatt of electricity rise 74%. It’s a function of the lack of growth in electricity demand overall. Homes and businesses are increasingly more efficient. Home solar setups are catching on. The Great Recession forced efficiencies. (And) the economy’s shift away from manufacturing, energy hungry, and into services.

Why a Traditional Resume Won't Get You a Dream Job Anymore

Competition comes from all over the world and from different realms outside the traditional. Just putting words on paper won't get the attention of hiring managers - to say nothing of getting past the algorithms doing their initial review.

Creative attention-getting that demonstrates knowledge of the company and what they need in a time-strapped world is increasingly the answer. JL


Marianne Garvey reports in Moneyish:

Sending a resume in cold is referred to as “throwing paper airplanes into the galaxy.” Creative candidates are turning to grand gestures. A reverse job application, which offered companies the opportunity to apply for him went viral after he posted it to Reddit and he landed a job in tech. “It’s about standing out in a competitive job market. Anything you can do that differentiates you will be effective as long as it’s not negative.” One shows your creativity, the other just shows you’re insane. Visual evidence of a job you can do shows an employer you experienced, (and) understand the company.

Aug 1, 2018

Huawei Surpasses Apple To Become Second Biggest Smartphone Seller. Does It Matter?

Does it matter? Maybe.

Huawei is selling inexpensive devices to the mass market whereas Apple has chosen to focus on an upscale customer who offers greater profitability.

Which is fine as far as it goes, but the fact that the market is saturated and possibly shrinking while differences in comparable performance are decreasing could pose a long term issue for Apple in emerging markets where most of the future growth is for these devices. JL


Romain Dillet reports in Tech Crunch:

The overall market has shrunk by 1.8% in Q2 2018.But the surprise is that Huawei now has a 15.8%  market share with 54.2 million smartphones shipped in Q2. It doesn’t mean that Apple is performing poorly. The company is shipping more smartphones this year compared to last. Apple suffers from seasonability compared to its competitors. Samsung and Huawei sell many different devices and release new phones all year long. Apple usually releases new devices in September.

How Retailers Are Using Big Tech To Make Customer Experience Better

Resistance is futile. Convergence is the future. JL

Axios reports:

The trick for brick-and-mortar retailers is to figure out how to use data and technology, while personalizing the physical shopping experience.“It’s a volume business —  it’s all about making sure customers are returning. Retailers have to use technology to align their interests with customers’ interests, so they want to come back.” Retailers are increasingly using technology like geolocation mapping and virtual shopping assistants in an attempt to increase shoppers’ loyalty. “Physical retail is not dead. Boring retail is,”

Why More Buildings Are Going Green. Literally

The aesthetics are stunning. But so are the financial and operational productivity benefits. JL

Ken Wells reports in the Wall Street Journal:

Biophilic design can result in significant energy savings, and research indicates that employees in buildings designed with biophilic elements not only feel better about their workplace but perform better. A landmark 2003 study of employees in a call center showed that workers who sat with views of nature handled up to 12% more calls per hour. (Hospital) patients who had views of green space from their rooms had shorter recovery times than those who didn’t.

Walmart Discovers Why the Last Mile Is the Hardest

Walmart thought it could expand its home delivery efforts by enticing its massive workforce with some extra pay to make deliveries after their shifts. But they had to use their own vehicles, were covered by their own insurance - and were not always compensated  for mileage or the time they spent waiting at the store to pick up and load deliveries. Employees, not unreasonably, balked.

The company is now trying a partnership with Waymo, after trials with Lyft and Uber failed for both parties. When you have positioned yourself as the low-cost provider, attempting to add expensive services is hard. Which is one of the reasons why Amazon is still ahead. JL


Nandita Bose reports in Reuters:

Despite having 4,700 U.S. stores within 10 miles (16 km) of 90% of the U.S. population, Walmart is still trying to figure out how to efficiently make deliveries. Walmart aims to be able to deliver groceries to more than 40% of households in the US this year. (It) is experimenting with deliveries by motorbike in Mexico and with small supermarkets in China to make deliveries in 30 minutes or less.

The Customer's Problem Is Always More Important Than Your Solution

Pragmatism usually beats intellectual elegance - or technological brilliance. JL


Alex Chriss reports in Venture Beat:

Don’t fall in love with your solution. Fall in love with the customer problem you’re trying to solve. The trick is figuring out what the problem really is. It’s the biggest challenge startups face when launching a new product. Ask a customer about their problems and they will often tell you what they think you want to hear. There’s a big difference between what a customer says and what a customer does. The key is not to ask them but to observe them – in person and in their own setting.

Why Scaling Innovation Is More About Discipline Than Disruption

Optimization begins when innovators recognize the difference between replacing the old system and becoming the new system. JL

Barry O'Reilly reports in Singularity Hub:

By nature, innovators want to disrupt the status quo. (But) the habits and practices that made them successful are now creating the very problems they need to solve. To scale, you have to stop disrupting yourself. You must allow information to flow freely and reliably to the people who need it. You must create a vision, clarify the outcomes you are aiming for, then let the people closest to the problem have the authority to implement a solution to it. Moving authority is what creates accountability.

Jul 31, 2018

Tesla's $1500 Surboard Sells Out in 1 Day: Buyers Turn to eBay For Resales

Tesla's personal flamethrowers sold out in five days, so one could argue the company is getting in closer touch with its customers true aspirations.

So if the Model 3 tanks... JL

Ben Tobin reports in USA Today:

Tesla offered the boards at $1,500 a pop for customers starting Saturday. But with only 200 available, the product sold out by Sunday afternoon. Hopeful consumers will now have to try their luck on eBay, where they will have to pay a premium: the surfboards are selling from $2,000 to $5,000 there.

The Hidden Trends In Corporate America's Expense Reports As Online Services Take Over

Work follows life. The same services employees use on their own time are showing up on expense reports as they become popular for work, as well. The impact on traditional vendors is likely to be profound.

The larger question is what sorts of services will be impacted next: minibars? JL


Rani Molla reports in Re/code:

As long as employees stay under a certain price point, companies let them spend where they please. 42% of travelers prefer to book directly with a hotel or airline rather than through work portals. Uber the leader in business car rides, is also the most frequently expensed vendor; in 2014, Delta and Starbucks topped the list. 60% of stays on Airbnb are for two or more guests; mean(ing) companies have employees stay together in apartments as opposed to individual hotel rooms. Employees order meals through GrubHub and Uber Eats. The food delivery market has grown 91% from 2016

The Importance of Telling a Good Innovation Story

The Importance of Telling a Good Innovation Story INSERT YOUR ANALYSIS HERE. REMEMBER TO USE THE BREAK TAGS BELOW FOR PARAGRAPH AND LINE BREAKS:

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The Importance of Telling a Good Innovation Story

As crucial as innovation is to success in economic terms, the way innovation is explained - or sold - fits into a number of well-established themes.

Knowing which one works best for any given innovation can play an important role in its ability to survive and scale. JL

Julian Birkinshaw reports in McKinsey Quarterly:

Storytelling has always been important in business but with executive and investor attention stretched by information overload, is ever more important for getting ideas noticed. “Best beats first” celebrates doing things in a new way. The “master of reinvention” is about the establishment challenging itself. Serendipity involves stumbling over something unusual, then having the perspective to capitalize on it. Perspiration is all about hard work and tenacity. The underdog or unreasonable person is fighting the system that blocks progress. "Winds of change” about harnessing external forces.

Which Companies Generate the Highest and Lowest Revenue Per Employee?

Manufacturing, restaurants and retail are the lowest. Energy and healthcare are the highest.

Why isn't tech higher? They are hiring more people. JL


Craft reports in Price Economics:

Rank the companies by Revenue Per Employee (RPE) to explore how efficiently the companies utilize human capital. Energy and Healthcare companies remained high on the list, while Industrials and Consumer Discretionaries continue to perform the worst. Tech companies are becoming increasingly more productive by growing their RPE.

How Tapping Into the Power Grid Could Predict the Morning Commute

Connectivity and data enhance predictive capabilities. Whether that will lead to better decision making is the question. JL

Devin Coldewey reports in Tech Crunch:

“Results show that morning peak congestion times are clearly related to particular types of electricity-use patterns.” Predictions of morning traffic patterns were more accurate using this model than predictions using actual traffic data. The correlation goes the other way as well; traffic patterns could be used to predict electricity demand.There are many factors that indicate the dynamics of a living city — not just electricity use but water use, mobile phone connections, the response to different kinds of weather, and more.

Why Do the Biggest Companies Keep Getting Bigger? It's How They Spend On Tech

Proprietary tech contributes more to firms' competitive economic advantage than other types of technology.  JL

Christopher Mims reports in the Wall Street Journal:

The secret of the success of the Amazons, Googles and Facebooks of the world—not to mention the Walmarts, CVSes and UPSes before them—is how much they invest in their own technology. IT spending that goes into hiring developers and creating software owned and used exclusively by a firm is the key competitive advantage. The productivity gap correlates with the increase in spending on proprietary IT. In 1985, firms spent 7% of their net investment (software, new buildings, R&D and the like) on proprietary IT. In 2016, 24% of U.S. firms’ net investment went into proprietary IT.

Jul 30, 2018

The Cognition Crisis

The aging of the population is a factor, but the more common thread is, you guessed it, technology and information. The question is what society is willing to do about it. JL


Adam Gazzaley reports in Medium:

A cognition crisis is not defined by a lack of information, knowledge or skills. This a crisis of the interplay between brain and environment — between how we perceive our surroundings, integrate information, and act upon it. Between 2005 and 2015, the number of people with depression and anxiety increased by 18.4% and 14.9% respectively, while individuals with dementia exhibited a 93% increase. There is a common, underlying aggravator that has exerted an impact across all domains of cognition: the information age.

The Messy But Potentially Huge Business of Selling Meal Kits

Entrepreneurs and investors biting off more than they can, um, chew? JL

Heather Haddon and Jennifer Smith report in the Wall Street Journal:

Meal-kit spending by consumers has grown three times as fast as spending in established food sectors such as restaurants and grocery stores since 2015. (But) getting a box of pre-portioned ingredients and instructions to a customer’s door is one of the most complicated logistics riddles in the food business. “It’s building a supply chain from scratch.”Meal-kit businesses are now looking to supermarket sales to supplement subscription-only revenue. Grocers also want a piece of the action. “Don’t send eggplant. When in doubt, add cheese.”

Even If You're Paying, You Might Still Be the Product

Data's value to the user transcends whatever you might be willing or able to pay to limit its use. JL

Praful Krishna reports in The Next Web:

Even if you are paying, you might still be the product.We speak with our wallets and with our attention. The prevailing view on social media technology, which is reasonably mature and has flourished without restriction, is that consumers should be reasonably informed on where their information goes and what is done with it. It seems obvious now, but we shouldn’t forget that this view has evolved out of a series of scandals.

Is the Rise of Artificial Intelligence On Wall Street For Better or Worse?

Algorithms are neither inherently bad or good. It is how they are applied to achieve desired outcomes that matters.

And while it is possible to achieve first mover advantage, the combination of concentrated technological and financial intelligence and the need to surpass the performance of competitors which creates demand for a lack of transparency that may become problematic - as it has in the past with earlier technologies. JL


Thomas Hornigold reports in Singularity Hub:

To “beat the market” which now embodies not only everyone’s knowledge about stocks, but the activity of the best algorithms being deployed, you need to have an edge no one else has. This inevitably leads to a lack of transparency. Every day, more impenetrable connections are added to this complex network, adding to the glut of inscrutable decisions. It is part of a broader trend, motivated by efficiency and profit, to place more decisions in the hands of algorithms whose behavior is often unpredictable, inexplicable, and unquestionable, even as they become deeply ingrained in the system.

The Death of Don Draper

Has data defeated creativity? Maybe. At least in the advertising industry, which has become a not very well regarded subsidiary of the tech industry's data-driven media domination

With everything being tested, captured and algorithmically re-purposed, the only question is whether its predictive capabilities can keep up with humanity's penchant for irrational behavior. JL


Ian Leslie reports in The New Statesman:

Businesses can no longer rely on advertising to compensate for mediocre products. The ad industry, run by people who pride themselves on creativity, is displaced by the ad business, which prides itself on efficiency. Consumers are less likely to have favorite brands, since “their favorite brand is going to be what Google tells them at that moment is going to match their exact needs.” The ad industry thinks of itself as the custodian of brand's meaning in popular culture. The ad business couldnt care less about such fluff. But there is a bug in the software: the way we choose what to buy will never be logical.

How Software Ate the Point of Sale

It used to be so simple. The clerk or waitstaff presented you with a bill and you handed over your cash or credit card.

But then technology came along, presuming it could do this better, as it has done so many other things. And it offered, in return for a not insignificant investment, data showing you who was buying what and how each of your employees were performing. Merchants got locked in to their first vendor because it became apparent that the cost of changing wasnt worth the return.  The problem is that too many people are trying to get a piece of what is already a transaction with small margins. But software and the electronic ecosystem were there to stay.

What is interesting is that rather than consolidating, like so many other parts of the technoverse, this market has fragmented. Not even Apple could make much of a dent. Which means inefficiency reigns until someone figures out how to make enough of a difference to dominate. JL

Alexis Madrigal reports in The Atlantic, photo by Adam Hunger in Reuters:

Like every other part of the world that software is digesting, the gap between the mega-trend and the lived reality is where the money is made. This world requires hundreds of thousands of businesses to work through hundreds of vendors to reach thousands of banks. Every company is trying to extract some bits (of data, of money) from every transaction, building fortunes out of pennies. That’s why Google Pay and Apple Pay didn’t take off like Facebook or Uber. There are just too many human hands reaching for pockets that need to get on board.

Jul 29, 2018

4 Billion New Minds Are Coming Online In the Next 6 Years - Then What?

All we have to do is connect. How we optimize is another question. JL

Peter Diamandis reports in Singularity Hub:

In the next 6 years, 4 billion “new minds” are about to be connected to the world wide web, at gigabit connection speeds, at near zero-cost. By 2024, we are connecting every person on Earth to the web with bandwidths far beyond what Fortune 500 CEOs and heads of nations had daily access to a couple of decades back. As the other half of our planet plugs into the web, this acceleration will only accelerate. So where are we going and how are we getting there?

How Blogs Broke the Old Web - And What It Means For the Future

OK, it wasn't blogs per se. It was the format that scaled the ease of use that drove blogs and all the digital social interaction that has followed.

We don't know for sure where this is going, but even though the past doesnt necessarily predict the future, convenience and price will almost certainly have something to do with it. JL


Amy Hoy reports in Stacking the Bricks:

When something is easy, people will do more of it. And who, once offered a path of least resistance, has the energy to fight it all the way? The format won. The old web, the cool web, the weird web, the hand-organized web… died. And the reverse chronology bias — once called into creation, it hungers eternally — sought its next victim. Myspace. Facebook. Twitter. Instagram. Pinterest, of all things. Today social publishing tools are beginning to reverse chronological sort; algorithm sort surfaces content not by time posted but by popularity, or expected interactions, based on individual and group history.

Tesla's Cash Crunch, Explained

The path to profitability appears to have some pretty big potholes. JL

Timothy Lee reports in ars technica:

The company burned through more than $1 billion in the first quarter of 2018, ending the quarter with less than $2.7 billion in the bank. Tesla likely has even less than that today. Adding to the pressure is Tesla's massive debt; more than $10 billion in total debt, and more than $1 billion of that could come due in the next eight months. The big question is whether Tesla can achieve positive cashflow before it runs out of money—or if not, whether it will be able to raise additional funds to cover the shortfall.

Big Tech's Growth Comes With Increasingly Big Bills To Pay

Have the days of 'miracle margins' ended? Facebook may have been the proverbial canary in the tech coal mine as market saturation starts to impact the cost of growth. JL

Dan Gallagher reports in the Wall Street Journal:

The cost to generate that growth is going upward at a faster clip. Combined spending on research and development is expected to rise 24% in 2018, while capital expenditures for the five are expected to surge by 48% compared with last year. For Big Tech, these expenses reflect the rising costs of running their current businesses while also developing new ones to stay more competitive—in a world where their most significant source of competition is mostly each other.

Uber and Lyft Riders Are Giving Up Public Transit, Not Cars, Increasing Urban Traffic 180%

Which is why New York and other big cities are now considering caps on the number of ride share vehicles. JL

Adam Brinklow reports in Curbed San Francisco and Henry Grabar reports in Slate:

Private-ride TNC services (UberX, Lyft) put 2.8 new vehicle miles on the road for each mile of personal driving removed, for an overall 180% increase in driving on city streetsIn nine of the country’s major cities (including its three biggest), about 60% of Uber or Lyft rides are replacing journeys that would have been made on transit, on bike, or on foot—or not at all. In other words, ride hailing is mostly a substitute for transit and other transportation alternatives, not a complement.

Big Tech Is Drawing Lines - But the Consequences May Be Unintended

Tech's commitment to a laissez-faire  approach to content is deeply ingrained. "Information wants to be free," was one of its earliest battle cries.

But as evidence of manipulation accrues, that idealism appears naive at best - and selfish or greedy at worst.

The question is whether platforms' attempts to monitor and curate content will end fake news - or just make the companies themselves more powerful. JL


Farhad Manjoo reports in the New York Times:


A mostly hands-off approach has been central to the tech platforms’ growth, allowing them to get to globe-spanning scale without bearing the social costs of their rise. But because they are now so influential — Facebook has more than two billion users — and so deeply embedded in our lives, a more hands-on approach to policing content will ripple around the world, altering politics, the media business and much else in society. It could also have the opposite effect: better policing their own content could actually increase the power that tech platforms have to shape our lives.