A Blog by Jonathan Low


May 15, 2021

Retailers Fret As Offices Stay Empty - Especially In New York

Without office workers and tourists, most retail businesses in urban downtowns like New York's cannot survive. 

The question is whether the hybrid schedule many companies are adopting for the near term will be enough to keep those retailers alive. JL 

Peter Eavis and Matthew Haag report in the New York Times:

A big shift toward working from home is endangering hundreds of locally owned storefronts. The fate of these stores, and by extension the country's business hubs, will hinge in large part on how long landlords will keep offering the rent breaks that have kept many retailers afloat. Landlords themselves are under growing financial pressure as office vacancies soar and commuters and visitors stay away. The owner of the Empire State Building said that just 48.3% of the building’s retail spaces were occupied

A big shift toward working from home is endangering hundreds of locally owned Manhattan storefronts that have been hanging on, waiting for life to return to the desolate streets of Midtown and the Financial District.

The fate of these stores, and by extension the country’s two largest business hubs, will hinge in large part on how long landlords will keep offering the rent breaks that have kept many retailers afloat. Landlords themselves are under growing financial pressure as office vacancies soar and commuters and visitors stay away.

At risk is Manhattan’s unique retail culture — the jewelers, barber shops, event spaces and bars — that has long brought vibrancy and familiarity to the street-level canyons of its skyscraper-filled office districts.

“Right now, we’re suffering,” said Gili Vaturi, who operates Torino Jewelers on Lexington Avenue. She said her sales are still so weak that she is not covering all of her costs even with a much-reduced rent deal with her landlord, GFP Real Estate, which owns dozens of Manhattan properties and has a large minority stake in the landmark Flatiron Building.

Even as the national economy snaps back, the mostly empty office buildings in Manhattan mean many storefronts have not yet seen a rebound. The stores are a crucial contributor to New York’s economy and employment. While the city is home to some of the largest companies in the world, small businesses employed about 900,000 people and made up 98 percent of all businesses before the pandemic.

Employment at small service industry businesses in Manhattan neighborhoods with lots of office buildings was down 20 percent from prepandemic levels at the beginning of March, according to Gusto, which provides payroll and benefits services. In the wider New York metropolitan area, employment at such businesses is down much less, 6 percent.

“Right now, small business jobs are disappearing from cities — and may never come back even after the vaccination is widespread and the economy fully reopens,” said Luke Pardue, an economist at Gusto.

The owner of the Empire State Building said on Wednesday that just 48.3 percent of the building’s retail spaces were occupied, a sharp decline from the end of 2019, when that number was nearly 70 percent.

GFP, Ms. Vaturi’s landlord, has allowed over half its storefront tenants to pay roughly 10 percent of their sales in rent so they can survive, said Eric Gural, one of the company’s co-chief executives. The forgone rent is increasingly becoming a burden: the financial cushions GFP keeps for unexpected costs at each of its 56 buildings have been “materially depleted,” Mr. Gural said, meaning they might not be able to make up for rent shortfalls from other tenants.

“We always say, ‘How is it going to rain 56 times?’” he said. “And there it was, it happened. It rained 56 times.”

Some landlords took on lots of debt before the pandemic, thinking rents and building values would go up and up, and now some cannot offer rent deals for much longer — or at all. Breathing down their backs are banks and investors, whose patience may run out.

Asking rents for ground floor storefronts have plunged more than 20 percent in neighborhoods like Times Square and East Midtown, the real estate services firm CBRE said. Across Manhattan’s retail corridors, they are down more than 13 percent since the start of the pandemic, putting rents at the lowest level in a decade.

On Friday afternoon, a stretch of Madison Avenue that used to be home to a flagship Brooks Brothers store was as quiet as a Sunday even though it is now dominated by One Vanderbilt, a huge, new office tower. Bank branches, outlets of cellphone companies and a Starbucks were open but had few customers.

Off Madison, on East 43rd Street, Sandeep Tirumalasetty had almost no customers to serve at Langford Wine and Spirits. Before the pandemic, Fridays were particularly busy, he said, because companies bought crates of alcohol for office happy hours. “Now, it’s completely dead,” Mr. Tirumalasetty said.

All across Midtown, there were vacant storefronts on nearly every block.

Francesco Perillo, the chief executive of Dr Smood, a small health food chain, closed three Manhattan locations, including his top-performing store, where his rent was over $30,000 a month for 2,000 square feet on Broadway just north of Madison Square Park. He said he would have stayed in that store, which employed as many as 14 people, had his landlord agreed to let him pay a percentage of his sales as rent.

“Not being able to have a flexible deal was making the business unsustainable,” Mr. Perillo said.

The landlord of his best store, Premier Equities, declined to comment on its dealings with Dr Smood. But property records show that Premier had amassed a big debt on the building that housed the store, which may have factored into its decision.

In 2014, Premier Equities paid $11.25 million for the building, financing the purchase with a $9 million mortgage. In 2017, Premier borrowed another $5 million against the building, the records show. Premier also declined to comment on the debt.

Some property owners have deeper pockets than others, and in big office buildings where retail income makes up a small fraction of overall rent, landlords are not hurting as badly because corporations, law firms and other tenants are still paying rent. These landlords can offer rent deals for longer to keep their properties looking lively.

Mark Strausman, a noted chef, went ahead last fall with plans for a new restaurant, Mark’s Off Madison. He could do so in part because his landlord, Rudin Management, is not charging him rent, except for the first month’s payment.

Nonetheless, the restaurant is losing money. But, Mr. Strausman said, “I don’t believe that after all of this, people want to stay home and cook.”

William C. Rudin, Rudin’s chief executive, said he wanted the restaurant to stay open in part so that employees in the offices above might feel better about returning. Mr. Rudin said he believed in Mr. Strausman’s vision but had not decided how long to keep waiving the rent. “Luckily, this is a small percentage of our portfolio, so it hasn’t impacted us, but for small owners, these are very difficult decisions to make,” Mr. Rudin said.

Some stores do not rely on office workers and are struggling because tourists are also staying away.

Paul Prianti, whose family owns Christmas Cottage in Midtown, which opened in 1985, said he had opened it only sporadically during the pandemic. “For us, it’s been a slow death,” he said.

He hopes that more people will start coming to the city after Labor Day.

In Grand Central Terminal, Inna Zelikson, who owns Inaya Jewelry with her sister, said sales have tanked because of the monthslong absence of commuters. Her landlord, the Metropolitan Transportation Authority, has not been as generous as other property owners.

The M.T.A. forgave four months of rent last year and now requires her and other tenants to pay 20 percent of original rent if that sum is higher than 10 percent of sales. Ms. Zelikson said she’s paying a little over $3,000 a month, with fees, which is more than what she’s taking in, even though it is not the $12,000 she was paying before the pandemic. She is dipping into savings to keep the shop open.

“I would love to pay them just a percentage of my sales,” Ms. Zelikson said.

The M.T.A. said in a statement that it was offering the best deal that it could, noting that it was “different from other landlords in that, as a public authority, any additional subsidies provided come out of taxpayers’ pockets.

Other store owners expressed more optimism.

Ken Giddon, the owner of the men’s clothing store Rothmans in Union Square, said he is doing better now than last year. He has moved suits to the back and packed the front with casual attire — T-shirts and hooded sweatshirts. Young men, he said, want to look stylish for a summer of socializing, returning to the office and a frenzy of weddings and events.

“We’ve gotten through the worst of it,” Mr. Giddon said. “The city is different now — it’s hungrier and younger in many ways, and it’s very exciting.”

To fill storefronts and counter the dominance of retail chains, some landlords have let smaller retailers operate out of trophy buildings at very low rents.

Before the pandemic, Jill Lindsey said, she spoke with Tishman Speyer about opening an outlet of her apparel and housewares store in Rockefeller Center in a few years, when a particular space was supposed to become available. But Tishman Speyer contacted her in July, asking if she was interested in moving in sooner, into another space, set aside as an “incubator” for small retailers to prove themselves. Another retailer had left one of the incubator spaces after five months.

Ms. Lindsey, who opened the store in November, said her rent, 15 percent of sales, is a lot lower than what she discussed with Tishman Speyer in 2019.

The store, called Jill Lindsey, took in just $8,000 in March. “I feel it’s OK to laugh about this,” she said, “because I do think we’ll come back and we’ll thrive.”


Post a Comment