A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Aug 2, 2022

Ukrainian Counteroffensives No Longer Limited To Kherson Area

The Institute for the Study of War is considered the definitive authority on the progress and conduct of the war in Ukraine. 

So the implication of such a source suggesting that Ukraine is now pursuing counteroffensives in other parts of Ukraine in addition to Kherson suggests  that Ukraine may be better positioned than realized - and that Russia is worse off. JL 

Institute for the Study of War reports:

The Russian withdrawal of some troops from northern Donetsk Oblast will deprive the Slovyansk effort of necessary combat power, in the same way that Russian forces neglected the Zaporizhia and Kherson Oblasts fronts during offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast. The withdrawal will likely create an opportunity for Ukrainian forces to launch a counteroffensive on the Izyum axis, just as the Russian capture of Luhansk Oblast allowed Ukraine to set conditions for a counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast. The Russian redeployment of troops to Zaporizhia Oblast also suggests that Ukrainian counteroffensives are not confined to Kherson Oblast and will likely take place throughout the southern axis.


The withdrawal of some Russian troops from northern Donetsk region will likely create an opportunity for Ukrainian forces to launch a counteroffensive on the Izium axis.

According to Ukrinform, the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War said this in its latest Russian offensive campaign assessment.

"The Russian withdrawal of some troops from northern Donetsk Oblast will deprive the Sloviansk effort of necessary combat power, in the same way that Russian forces neglected the Zaporizhia and Kherson Oblasts fronts during offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast," the institute said.

The Russian withdrawal of some troops from northern Donetsk Oblast will deprive the Slovyansk effort of necessary combat power, in the same way that Russian forces neglected the Zaporizhia and Kherson Oblasts fronts during offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast. The withdrawal will likely create an opportunity for Ukrainian forces to launch a counteroffensive on the Izyum axis, just as the Russian capture of Luhansk Oblast allowed Ukraine to set conditions for a counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast. The Russian redeployment of troops to Zaporizhia Oblast also suggests that Ukrainian counteroffensives are not confined to Kherson Oblast and will likely take place throughout the southern axis.

 The withdrawal will likely create an opportunity for Ukrainian forces to launch a counteroffensive on the Izium axis, just as the Russian capture of the Luhansk region allowed Ukraine to set conditions for a counteroffensive in the Kherson region.

According to the report, the Russian redeployment of troops to the Zaporizhia region also suggests that Ukrainian counteroffensives are not confined to the Kherson region and will likely take place throughout the southern axis.

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