A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Oct 20, 2023

Ukrainian Cross-Dnipro Penetration and Troop Build-Up Largest of War

As Ukraine has begun to confirm its larger than usual assault in the trans-Dnipro region across from Kherson, Russia has felt compelled to acknowledge the offensive effort even as it attempts to denigrate it. 

There are no definitive reports available about the battle area, suggesting the situation remains fluid, but that the Russians, even Putin, are commenting on it reveals their concern about this new initiative. JL 

Jaroslav Lukic reports in the BBC:

Ukrainian troops have made a number of smaller raids across the Dnipro river before - but the latest reported advance appears to be an attempt to expand the area under their control in anticipation of a larger offensive cross-river operation. "Geolocated footage indicates that Ukrainian forces advanced north of Pishchanivka (14km east of Kherson City and 3km from the Dnipro River) and into Poyma (11km east of Kherson City and 4km from the Dnipro River)." The Russian defence ministry confirmed Ukrainian operations in the area.

Ukraine's military appears to have confirmed reports that its troops have crossed on to the Russian-occupied left (eastern) bank of the Dnipro River.

The armed forces general staff listed Pishchanivka village in the southern Kherson region, 3km (two miles) east of the river, as being shelled by Russia.

The US-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said Ukrainian troops had advanced up to 4km east of the river.

Russia's Vladimir Putin insisted that Ukraine's operation was failing.

Ukraine launched its counteroffensive in the south in June, seeking to sever Russia's land corridor to the Crimean peninsula, which Moscow illegally annexed in 2014.

Kyiv aims to reach the Sea of Azov coast, splitting Russian troops in the region in two, and making the Kremlin's supply lines more complicated.

The counteroffensive has so far been slow, bringing only limited territorial gains.

Ukrainian troops have made a number of smaller raids across the Dnipro river before - but the latest reported advance appears to be an attempt to expand the area under their control in anticipation of a larger offensive cross-river operation.

In its report on Thursday morning, the General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine said Russia had carried out air strikes on Pishchanivka in the past 24 hours.

It provided no details on whether there were any Ukrainian troops in or near the village.

Hours earlier, the ISW quoted Russian sources as claiming that "likely company-sized elements of two Ukrainian naval infantry brigades conducted an assault across the Dnipro River on to the east bank" on 17-18 October.

"Geolocated footage published on 18 October indicates that Ukrainian forces advanced north of Pishchanivka (14km east of Kherson City and 3km from the Dnipro River) and into [the village of] Poyma (11km east of Kherson City and 4km from the Dnipro River)," the US-based think tank added.

Russian military blogger WarGonzo claimed on Thursday that the Ukrainian units fighting on the eastern bank of Ukraine's main river had been previously trained in the UK.

Meanwhile, the Russian defence ministry appeared to have confirmed Ukrainian operations in the area.

In its report on Wednesday evening, it said Russian troops had "suppressed the activity" of four Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups in Poyma and the nearby village of Pidstepne.

Moscow claims that, overall, Ukraine's counteroffensive in the Kherson region is failing.

"There is no result yet. There are [Ukrainian] losses," said President Putin during a visit to China on Wednesday.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Russia will lose the War in 24!

Anonymous said...

Good line!

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