In the Last 2.7 Years, Russia Took Less Than 1% of Ukraine, None Of It Strategic

Well that is a bracing analysis for the Kremlin. And in return, the Russians have lost over 1 million dead and wounded, almost their entire Black Sea Fleet, the vast majority of their armor and much of their artillery. 

And they are in the process of ruining their economy, but at least they've efficiently reduced their prison population...JL

Phillips O'Brien reports in his subtack:

Russia, by military standards, has taken no land of strategic value from Ukraine for over a year. It was just over two weeks ago that the doom starting spreading from the usual crowd about the great Russian breakthrough near Pokrovsk. They have now gone quiet. (In fact), according to Deep State, less than 1% of Ukrainian territory has been occupied in the last 1010 days (2.7 years) of the war. And a large percentage of the territory the Russians initially occupied has been liberated by Ukrainian forces through through counteroffensives in Kharkiv, Kherson and other regions.

Well, the Ukrainian military did not collapse this week and Russia seized hardly any land (and actually by military standards they have taken no land of strategic value from Ukraine for arguably a year). It was just over two weeks ago that the dooming starting spreading from the usual crowd about the great Russian breakthrough near Pokrovsk. However, they have no gone quiet.

To show how little territory the Russians took this week—here are Deep State’s maps of the major area of fighting (Chasiv Yar to Pokrovsk) today—and a week ago.

Today:

A week ago

Deep State, btw, is a very important resource for Ukrainians—who trust their maps and who listen to their commentary. Deep State tries to speak the truth to power, and does not sugar coat the situation on the ground and can be critical of Ukrainian commanders.

Its why they have been misused regularly by the analytical community who try to talk up Russian successes. And they are not alone. Many patriotic and honest Ukrainians who are not enamored of Ukrainian military command (think Syrskyi) have actually helped the analytical community—though in the process they have unwittingly helped that community as it argues against aiding Ukraine in the best possible way.

The manner in which the Russian “breakthrough” (which was no breakthrough) near Pokrovsk was spun by military analysts finally seems to have made the Ukrainians understand that they are being used. Deep State put out a statement a week ago—and its important enough that I will quote the whole thing for you to read. Pay particular attention to the last paragraph, where they make it clear that their “American partners” have been distorting the situation.

Less than 1% of Ukrainian territory has been occupied by the enemy in the last 1010 days of the full-scale war between Russia and Ukraine.

Enemy occupied 5842 sq. km of Ukrainian territory in the period of November 12th, 2022 (114,489 sq. km was under occupation on that date) to today (114,493 sq. km is currently occupied). This territory is equal to 0.96781% of the whole Ukrainian state within its internationally recognized borders.

While Russians unfortunately had operational success in the first days of the full-scale invasion, a large percentage of the territory they’ve occupied was liberated through the successful offensive operations in the north of Ukraine, as well as through counteroffensives in Kharkiv and Kherson regions.

Enemy's offensive actions have continued since November 12th, 2022, and they go on to this day with minor interruptions. One of such offensives, the Bakhmut operation, as a reminder to those who do not remember, took place throughout the fall of 2022. We hope that this information will get to our American partners to help them get their math straight.