A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Jul 23, 2016

A New App Being Called 'the Uber For Escorts'

Anyone calling themselves the Uber of anything...JL

Emily Yoshida reports in The Verge:

Having a relationship with someone you might not otherwise pursue, the thinking goes, is a small price to pay for your material self-realization.

Apple Watch Sales Fall 55% As Consumers Mark Time On the Category

Consumers might be waiting for a new model.

Or they might have much use for the concept; 

Tim Bradshaw reports in the Financial Times:

The sharp decline is highly unusual for a new Apple product so early in its life and will compound Wall Street concerns about the company’s overall growth prospects this year. Common complaints about smartwatches include short battery life and users’ difficulty in configuring them to personal preferences,

Facebook's Internet Drone Takes Flight

Having the money to invest in innovation does not necessarily guarantee success. But it helps. JL

Sally French and Terence Horan report in Market Watch:

Facebook   wants to bring the internet to the whole world — using a giant, solar-powered drone with the wingspan of an airliner. And it flies on the power of roughly three hair-dryers.

New York City's Market For Trophy Houses In the Sky Is Falling

Whatever goes up...JL

Michelle Higgins report in the New York Times:

A four-year construction boom aimed at buyers willing to spend $10 million or more has flooded the top of the market just as global market turmoil has caused wealthy investors to pull back and the federal government has moved to scrutinize some all-cash transactions.“The global misperception was that the demand would be endless. The reality was the market was not as deep as what was thought.”

People Want Self-Driving Cars Primarily For...Cheaper Insurance

Money...walks? JL

Alex Davies reports in Wired:

Americans want self-driving cars. Not because they’ll save loads of time or ease the commute nightmare, but because it will save them money. Of the 1,500 US drivers surveyed, 55 percent said they “likely” or “very likely” would buy a semi-autonomous car.

Smartphone Users Check Their Devices 2,500 Times A Day

Obsessed? Nah...JL

Business Insider reports:

Users spent 26% of their time on messaging and social media apps, and 10% of their time on internet search browsers. Additionally, Facebook had the most touches with 15% of interactions. Touches began as soon as participants woke up — around 7 a.m. — and accelerated through the evening. 87% of participants interacted with their devices between midnight and 5 a.m. 

The Data-Driven Case For Vacation

Hey, ask anyone, numbers don't lie...JL

Shawn Achor and Michelle Gielen report in Harvard Business Review:

Nearly half of office-based workers say technology has actually increased the amount of time they spend working. If you plan ahead, go far from your work, and feel safe, 94% of vacations have a good ROI in terms of your energy and outlook upon returning. (A) key predictor of vacation ROI is the stress caused by not planning. People who took fewer than 10 of their vacation days per year had a 34.6% likelihood of receiving a raise or bonus. People who took more than 10 of their vacation days had a 65.4% chance of receiving a raise or bonus.

Jul 22, 2016

How Researchers Can Guess Your Age By Your Instagram Likes

Our every click online is fraught with meaning - because it's all just data and can all be evaluated. JL

Adrienne LaFrance reports in The Atlantic:

Social media behaviors vary by age. Teens mostly post photos that reflect their “mood or personal well being." The slipperiness of the meaning of a “like” is no different than the subtext that comes with any other form of human language. The way we speak to one another evolves, we try to keep up, and sometimes we actually understand each other.

The Internet of Things Has A Dirty Little Secret: It's Not Really Yours

You may buy the device, but you don't own the software that powers it - or the rate at which it may become obsolete. JL

The Verge reports:

When you’re signing up to a free new service, it’s easy to understand the implicit contract: I’m giving something about myself for free in exchange for this, and this might just go away. Buying something that’s attached to your wall, in your light sockets, or even on your person is far more intimate and you expect longevity, but there’s almost no chance it’ll work for as long as your offline gadget did. The tech world moves so fast it’ll be forgotten before the decade is out.

Why We Should Be A Bit Paranoid About Hackers Messing With Robot Surgeons

Security protocols are less robust than the incentives to disrupt systems - and then charge for their repair or restitution. JL

Lorenzo Francheschi-Bicchierai reports in Motherboard:

The biggest vulnerability is the link between the human and the robot. Researchers studying the cybersecurity risks of robot surgeons believe that in a real-world scenarios, the machines will likely use the same networks we use to check Facebook or play Pokémon Go. Where there’s opportunity, there will be motive. The security and the resilience of the IT we depend upon should be commensurate with the level of risk

Unilever's Purchase of Dollar Shave Club and the Disruption of Everything

On the internet, shelf space is infinite. And so is the potential to fail. JL

Ben Thompson comments in Stratechery:

AWS and Amazon itself, having both normalized e-commerce amongst consumers and incentivized the creation of fulfillment networks, made the creation of standalone e-commerce companies more viable than ever before. This meant that Dollar Shave Club, hosted on AWS servers, could neutralize P&G’s distribution advantage: on the Internet, shelf space is unlimited.

How Will We Manage Our Digital Selves? The Battle Over Personality and Prediction

Through our use of the internet we are in the process of creating a digital self. Discerning consumers have become aware of the fact that every click download and purchase is data to built into a predictive model that can help marketers and government officials build a profile of us, and an increasingly accurate one.

What is becoming clear is that we are also developing an online personality whose shape can be both identified and accessed. The power of this information in helping to shape decision-making - our own and those of enterprises hoping to sell us anything from a laundry detergent to a political candidate.

One of the most important coming economic, ethical and personal battles will be over the degree to which individuals and those enterprises agree to share management of that data. Europe is already insisting upon a right to assess the personal impact of algorithmic use as well as a right to forget. But it is what data are remembered - by whom and for what purpose - that will most profoundly influence public and private futures. JL

Dave Winsborough and colleagues report in The Guardian:

Abilities to extract personality from our digital behavior, predicting how we’ll behave, is close. Researchers (have) used Facebook likes to identify personality, gender, political affiliation, sexual orientation and religious affiliation. While the algorithms (and) profit models are unfolding, our digital personalities are accessible to anyone - more revealing than a conversation, and more accurate than our own hopes and desires. Others (may) know us better than we know ourselves, and use that knowledge to take our agency. (Or) our digital selves allow the power of insight to be harnessed for our own good.

Jul 21, 2016

If You Have To Take A Survey To Finish Reading An Article Online, Should You Do So?

Hell, yes. Less painful than incessant pop-ups for products you've either already bought or will never use. JL

Rachael Cusick reports in Slate:

Might I still shamelessly opt for one of those surveys over an inescapable video advertisement? Any day. These surveys make me feel as though I control my browsing experience, which sharply contrasts those video advertisements and encroaching sponsored images. And that’s exactly the reaction the folks at Google Consumer Surveys were hoping I would have.

Meet the Humans Pretending To Be Chatbots

The dirty little secret behind the responsiveness of some customer-oriented bots: actual humans.

Could this become a longer term feature...out of necessity? JL

Jessica Stillman reports in Inc:

The tech behind chatbots is far from ready for prime time and companies are often covering this up by employing "humans pretending to be robots pretending to be humans. Companies offering do-anything concierges; shopping assistants; and e-mail schedulers have sprung up. The goal for most is to require as few humans as possible. But for now, the companies are largely powered by people, clicking behind the curtain and making it look like magic.

Performance Of Workers Varies Over Age and Time

Former GE Chairman Jack Welch's system for rating executives and then culling the bottom 5 or 10% always seemed to pat. And one wonders if the company might have exceeded its mediocre decade of performance after his retirement had it been more focused on the future than on adhering to rigid processes. JL

Lauren Webber reports in the Wall Street Journal:

The chance of an employee receiving the same rating from one year to the next was 33%—meaning the practice of “managing out” workers who rate low relative to their peers in annual rankings could result in companies firing next year’s solid B players or even stars. The study adds some heft to recent decisions by bellwethers such as Goldman Sachs and GE to coach workers more and reduce the focus on annual performance appraisals and ratings

How Amazon's Brand and Customer Experience Became Synonymous

Amazon has made a fetish of customer service, even defying Wall Street's chronic demand for better margins in order to invest in enhanced delivery capabilities.

That focus has permitted the company to expand, despite having to survive questions about the treatment of employees and destruction of entire swaths of the traditional global economy. There is a powerful lesson in that emphasis and the freedom it has given the company. JL

Scott Davis reports in Forbes:

Amazon regularly ranks at the top of every customer service poll, was recently inducted into the customer service hall of fame, and was found to be one of the most relevant brands to U.S. consumers. Imagine the levels of customer loyalty it will achieve if Alexa becomes as widely adopted as Siri. Amazon is becoming the world leader in delivering on its brand promise: being the “Earth’s biggest selection and being the Earth’s most customer-centric company.”

Jul 20, 2016

Now All Of Your Emojis Can Be Male or Female

Not exactly a solution to the gender issues in tech, but you have to start somewhere, one supposes. JL

Andrew Cunningham reports in LeadGitzmos:

11 new "professional" emoji will depict both men and women performing different jobs, and there will be both male and female versions of 33 existing emoji that currently depict either a man or a woman but not both. The plan is based largely on a proposal from Google.

Too Much Big Data Running Through My Brain

Data is just another fungible asset. It's what you do with it that matters. JL

Ron Miller reports in Tech Crunch:

Whatever the outcome, the data has no inherent value unless it produces an outcome to help us perform better — and finding the data that matters most is still a huge issue.

Kodak's Downfall Wasn't About Technology

It's about how all those pesky humans interpret the potential of that technology and the opportunities it offers. JL

Scott Anthony reports in Harvard Business Review:

Companies often see the disruptive forces affecting their industry. They divert sufficient resources to participate in emerging markets. Their failure is an inability to embrace the new business models disruptive change opens. Kodak created a digital camera, invested in technology, and understood that photos would be shared online. They failed in realizing that online photo sharing was the new business, not just a way to expand the printing business.

The Best Defense...:Huawei Files Patent Lawsuit In East Texas Court Known For Protecting Trolls

The best defense is a good offense. In a sign of how global perceptions of value have changed, Chinese companies such as consumer electronics manufacturer Huawei are now suing American companies in the East Texas court known as the friendliest venue for patent trolls.

Companies notable for their disregard of others' intellectual capital rights are now vigorously defending their own. Which is progress, if ironic. JL


Joe Mullin reports in ars technica:

The Eastern District of Texas was once just a place where American companies went to get fast justice when they wanted to sue a foreign competitor over patents. But US intellectual property laws cuts both ways. Chinese companies are quickly learning to use IP law to gain an edge over their competitors. Huawei's litigation barrage marks the end of an era in which Chinese companies were always on the defensive in IP disputes.

Behind Silicon Valley's Swoon Over Artificial Intelligence

Tech is always looking for the 'new, new thing' and given the relative paucity of recent transformational innovations, has not surprisingly embraced the first one to come along that appears to offer a semblance of globally scalable opportunity.

The question is whether that faith will be rewarded financially. JL

John Markoff reports in the New York Times:

The new era in Silicon Valley centers on artificial intelligence and robots, a transformation that many believe will have a payoff on the scale of the personal computing industry or the commercial internet. (But) the Valley’s new enthusiasm is troubling because it suggests an unfounded optimism similar to earlier eras in which the field overpromised and underdelivered.

The Scientific Reasons Why Co-Working May Be the Future of Work

It is logical that organizations which work to align fundamental human needs like independence, adaptability and a sense of accomplishment in the workplace would experience  increased productivity and related outcomes.

Interestingly, industrial corporations offered the earliest antecedents for these efforts when they co-located component providers in client factories in order to capture the benefits of reduced friction and misunderstanding while improving speed, coordination and cost-reduction. Advantages now being reaped by enterprises engaged in far more intangible, but frequently more valuable and global initiatives.

What is significant is that a growing body of evidence provides detailed support for these policies, citing the psychological and sociological underpinnings for the findings, as the following article explains. JL

Wendy Marx reports in Fast Company:

Coworking spaces are far less important than their social structures, where workers feel a sense of individual autonomy,  that's  linked to a sense of collaboration. Coworkers also shape their environment—which can significantly improve workers' performance and productivity. Independence, adaptability, flexibility are fundamental human needs. So it isn't surprising that they've been linked to positive outcomes in the workplace

Jul 19, 2016

What If Cameras Stopped Telling the Truth?

Because images are just data - and we all know what can be done with that. JL

Kaveh Waddell reports in The Atlantic:

Cheap smartphones with cameras have brought the power take documentary evidence to just about anyone, and the credibility of phone-shot video has held up in court and in the news. But a patent awarded to Apple last month hints at a future where invisible signals could alter the images that smartphone cameras capture—or even disable smartphone cameras entirely.

The Truth About Standing Desks and Productivity

Well, it was a nice theory. Maybe we just need more research. Or maybe it just doesnt matter. JL

Jill Duffy reports in Fast Company:

Desks might make workers happier. They could even ease some of the pains associated with sitting for extended periods of time. But they aren't going to magically make anyone more productive.

How To Get Acquired By Alphabet (According To Its VP of Corporate Development)

Be smart, be focused, be articulate. And be lucky. JL

Sachin Maini reports in StartupGrind:

For teams looking to get acquired by Google, the takeaway seems to be that you ought to have a well-articulated vision and a strong ability to reason through a variety of problems. And it can’t hurt to read up on your Salman Rushdie.

Is Something Wrong With Online Prediction Markets?

It's not just the quality of the data, it's how humans are conditioned to react to it and then use it. JL

Andrew Gelman and David Rothschild report in Slate:





Behind Every Successful Silicon Valley Visionary Is A Brilliant Operator

There is no 'I' in team, as the saying goes. But there is one in 'invest.' Successful startups figure out how to manage the interface. JL

Aimee Groth reports in Quartz:

Investors place their initial bets on founders, but the long-term vitality of a business hinges upon the strength and wisdom of its team.

Will Artificial Intelligence Ever Make Money?

It may be that AI, by the nature of its structural reality, is easy to commoditize.

Whether providers will be able to charge premiums for elemental units or even build it into their consulting cost structure could prove challenging as the following article explains. JL

Thomas Davenport comments in Harvard Business Review:

Software “micro-services” perform small chunks of functionality on data and then return a result. Because these are small, it’s more difficult to get organizations to pay for them. Because they’re small and modular, they lend themselves to creation by multiple software developers, who often contribute them to open source libraries.This is what has happened in the cognitive domain. It’s going to be difficult to make a good living just by selling cognitive software.

Jul 18, 2016

The Faroe Islands Want To Exchange 360 Degree Sheep View For Google View

Perspective and context do enhance the quality of insight.  JL

Rich McCormick reports in The Verge:

Solar-powered cameras were strapped to five sheep. The video gives a good view of the islands — albeit from the perspective of a waist-high animal very intent on eating grass — . A series of pictures from these mounted cameras mapped the grazing spots of the sheep, letting you know where exactly each image was taken.

A Few Companies Control 95% of the Data: What's Everyone Else Supposed To Do?

Big data is increasingly dominated by a few providers whose role as service providers anoints them as the gatekeepers for everyone else.

The challenge is creating alliances to gain - or maintain - access to the information an enterprise needs without sacrificing too much independence or flexibility. And good luck with that. JL

Ben Schippers reports in Tech Crunch:

With a few companies controlling 95 percent of the data, the internet is more closed and much more controlled than ever before. By keeping user data within the confines of the core business, the ability to market and sell advertising wins every time. A model where you can pay for robust versions of access is never going to survive. The markets are just too small to support that model.

How Turkey's President Rallied His Forces Using Facetime and Social Media To Thwart Coup Attempt

Putting aside the political, military and diplomatic issues, in the first head-to-head confrontation of media power, new technologies and social media dominated mainstream news.


The coup plotters thought that taking over TV stations - like in the good old days - would be sufficient. Boy, were they wrong. JL


Merhul Srivastava reports in the Financial Times:

As chaos reigned on the streets of Istanbul and Ankara, (Pres. Erdogan) took to FaceTime to reach a television presenter and send his first message to the nation. He then tweeted to his 8.6m followers, posted on his Facebook page, and his aides turned to WhatsApp to keep in touch with each other as they sought to wrest control of the situation as the coup is thwarted by government supporters using social media.

The Reason GE Linked Its Internet-of-Things Platform to Microsoft's Cloud

Playing the long game, GE recognized that Microsoft needed them more than did Amazon. And that given the relative equivalence of the cloud offerings, a mutually productive long term partnership was more likely with someone not out to some day become a competitor, a possibility no enterprise can ever assume about Amazon. JL

Austen Hufford reports in the Wall Street Journal:

Because Azure operates in many countries, Microsoft’s offering may offer “better” locations globally than rivals, and that may make Azure more attractive for some country- and regional-level customers. The partnership will allow Predix customers to access Microsoft Azure capabilities such as natural language processing, artificial intelligence, data visualization and integration with Microsoft’s suite of online workplace productivity apps

Why New Consumer Brands Must Scale Faster

Retailers are no longer shunning new products in order to maintain 'shelf discipline.' Instead, as the following article explains, they are welcoming new brands as the weight of consumer purchase decision making shifts from Boomers to younger generations seeking different product and service attributes than did their parents. JL

Eddie Yoon and Steve Hughes report in Harvard Business Review:

Over the past four years nearly 50% of the growth in the U.S. consumer food and beverage segment has come from 20,000 companies below the top 100 largest companies. One of the root causes is the shifting role of retailers, which have gone from being gatekeepers for big brands to welcoming new brands with open arms.

Innovating the Innovation Process

There are two myths that have constrained and even impeded the process of innovation in many organizations.

One is the notion of the lone inventor, fighting the odds and the skepticism of colleagues, as the source of the greatest technological advances.

The other is that the success of the end product is the only measurable outcome worthy of note.

But as the following article explains, enterprises are learning that collaborative teams may be more productive than lone wolves, especially at scale. And that process improvements may ultimately be the most valuable result of the innovation initiative.

Organizations capable of and disciplined enough to ignore traditional forms and measures may be better able to recognize - and act upon - improvements wherever they find them, achieving optimal returns on their investment and effort. JL

Greg Satell comments in Digital Tonto

Innovative enterprises have learned the value of instilling iterative process(es) across integrated, multidisciplinary teams within their organizations. As it turns out, if we are to solve our biggest and toughest problems, we need to learn how to implement that same level of collaboration across our entire society.

Jul 17, 2016

Cleveland Will Be a 'No-Drone Zone' During the Republican Convention

Which might be just as well for drone owners worried about losing their devices, since guns of all types - thanks to Ohio law -  are more than welcome. JL

Janet Guyon reports in Quartz:

The entire city of Cleveland–82.47 square miles of land and water– is a no drone zone. During the last Republican convention, held in 2012 in Tampa they were seen as a security device, not a risk. “Well, obviously, we are in a much different environment in 2015 than 2012,” says the Secret Service.

Why You Should Be Nice To Your Robots

Do unto others as you would have them do unto you: especially when they designed to learn from the behaviors they observe and adapt accordingly. JL

Oliver Burkeman comments in the Guardian:

How’s a four-year-old supposed to learn that other household members aren’t simply there to do her bidding, when one (electronic) household member was designed to do exactly that? It’s one thing to act with compassion when you spend your days with family and neighbors. It’s quite another with various human-like devices, which invite us to order them around. It demands effort to remember that humans are humans. And that computers  aren’t.

Is Keeping Terrorists Off Social Media A Legal or Technological Problem?

The real challenge in determining liability when it comes to universally accessed media is clash of values, so different from continent to continent, region to region, clan to clan. 

One could imagine litigants citing Europe's 'right to forget' in a bid to protect perpetrators while others cite its 'right to an explanation of algorithmic impact' as a reason why blocking technology should not be employed.

Ultimately the question may become a business decision based on perceptions of the optimal approach to limiting liability while minimizing commercial impact on profits. JL

Paul Barrett reports in Bloomberg:

The safe harbor provision of the Communications Decency Act protects online service providers, such as Facebook, from legal liability related to what their users say. The First Amendment's protection of free speech could present a further legal obstacle. Better algorithms applied more aggressively could accomplish more than billion-dollar lawsuits.

59% of Americans Report Themselves At Least 'Somewhat' Addicted To Their Digital Devices

Only 59%? How many of the others are simply in denial? JL

John Dick reports in Civic Science:

By the end of 2013, the number of Americans who self-identified as addicts was 49%, meaning the current 59% represents a 20% increase in the past 30 months. If that torrid pace continues, we could see addiction rates as high as 70% by the end of 2018.

The Platform of Things

Alliances, partnerships and ecosystems being created today are going to establish financial and economic advantage tomorrow. JL

Sarwant Singh comments in Forbes:

9 percent of company announcements in the past 12 months were about ecosystem building – typically involving technology partnerships and joint go-to-market strategy. Another 7 percent involved product co-development. Within the next two years, the Internet of Things will become the biggest source of data on the planet. Though many relationships will be loosely coupled and dynamic, a land grab is underway to secure access to vital competitive assets.

The Downside Of This Economy's Digital Dominance

For all of the benefits technology has rendered our civilization, there are  some downsides. The most widely recognized is the tendency of technology to disrupt the status quo, creating confusion and, as has become especially true of this cycle, eliminating old jobs without replacing them with new ones. At least not yet.

But another issue is that given the nature of this technology, little investment is required to maintain their status. The dominance of a few large enterprises like Apple, Google, Facebook, Amazon and Microsoft has also resulted in less competition than in the early days of some of the other technological revolutions. Those two forces have the combined effect of requiring less stimulatory investment than the economy could, frankly, use to bolster incomes and create new jobs, all of which have plateaued since the dotcom era.

The result, it could be argued, is that we as a society have paid for technology's benefits in full, but whether or not the return on the socio-economic benefit for that investment is positive - and to what degree - can not yet be determined. JL

Paul Krugman comments in the New York Times:

The three most valuable companies in America are Apple, Google and Microsoft. None of the three spends large sums on bricks and mortar. All three are sitting on huge reserves of cash. When interest rates go down, they don’t have much incentive to spend more on expanding their businesses; they just keep raking in earnings. Stocks don’t reflect incomes in general; they only reflect the part of income that shows up as profits.