A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Apr 10, 2026

Russia Reports Ukraine Fielding Unjammable, Undetectable, Far-Flying AI Drones

The prospect of AI-driven drones which are unjammable, undetectable by current means and fly twice as far as current models has gone from anticipation to reality. The new models are being called "Martians."

But what is especially interesting about this is that the new AI drones were revealed not by Ukraine, but by Russia's TASS news agency, which was informed by its own troops. JL

Stefan Korshak reports in the Kyiv Post:

Ukraine's military has fielded a new-generation tactical drone that is immune to jamming, can’t be seen by detectors looking for robot aircraft’s electronic signature, and has about twice the range of swarms already dominating the battlefield. Russia's TASS news agency reported "(Ukraine) has begun using new drones called ‘Martians,’ which, unfortunately, have a cruising speed of up to 300 kilometers/hour [186 miles / hour], no longer fly under operator guidance but are controlled by AI. They are undetectable by electronic warfare systems, and drone detectors don’t spot them.” 

Long Range Ukraine Strikes Have Cut Russian Drone Attacks

Ukraine's strategic targeting of Russian defense industry plants, especially those that make drones and components necessary to make Shaheds and missiles, have significantly reduced the Kremlin's ability to strike Ukraine cities. 

The Ukrainians have systematically targeted air defenses in order to make it easier for its drones and missiles to get through, then has struck the key Russian defense industry sites that make the weapons the Kremlin has been using against Ukraine. Though Russia continues to attack Ukraine nightly, the trend line, which nine months ago was heading us, has now flatlined due to the Ukrainian counterattacks

David Axe reports in Trench Art and Joseph Place reports in United 24:

Nine months ago, the trend pointed to Russia producing 7,000 Shaheds a week, a volume that could’ve overwhelmed Ukrainian defenses. But, in recent months, Shahed strikes flatlined. The Russians still hit Ukrainian cities with 1,500 Shaheds a week. But there’s no longer a trend toward more Shahed attacks - due to Ukrainian deep strikes. Ukraine has grown its ability to combine asymmetric warfare, intelligence ops, long-range FPV drones, and long-range missiles. In 2026, long-range strikes against war-related infrastructure inside Russia have become the norm thanks to Ukraine’s long range strikes. Notable attacks include the Kapustin Yar launch site, the missile fuel plant in Tver, Kremniy El microchip factory in Bryansk, and the Votkinsk defense plant. “No region of Russia, including the Urals, can feel safe in 2026,” Russian Security Council chief Shoigu admitted.

Russia Is Losing Momentum As Ukraine Advances With High-Risk Initiative

For four years, Ukraine's leaders have realized something that the corrupt Russian oligarchs in the Kremlin never could: you win a war by destroying the enemy's military, not by trying to scare its people.  

The Russians had learned to cow their populace with secret police and bribes. That translated into their believing every country's citizens were like theirs. But they have learned the hard way just how wrong they were. Instead of randomly bombing civilian targets with no strategic value as the Russians have, the Ukrainians have developed a strategy which is now working very effectively. They have identified the keys to Russian military and economic capability and are targeting them, relentlessly. Whether it is oil refining, defense production, air defense or troop concentration and logistics, the Ukrainians are wearing down the Kremlin's ability to fight a war. And, oh by the way, after a tough winter, frequently without heat and light, the Ukrainians remain defiant, as their troops advance while inflicting increasingly catastrophic casualties on the Russians. JL

Vijainder Thankur reports in The EurAsian Times:

Having survived a Russian winter offensive that nearly crippled its power generation, Ukraine is now seizing the initiative. Russian strikes against Ukraine are becoming smaller and less effective. The losses sustained by Russian drones and missiles suggest Ukrainian air defenses remain potent. Ukraine has taken advantage of Russia through bold, relentless escalations. It has taken the initiative throughout the war, escalating the conflict, often spectacularly, by crossing Russian red lines, striking Russia’s strategic assets. Ukraine is now launching more attack drones against Russia than vice versa. Russia's strategy to win the war focused on denuding the will of the Ukrainian people to continue fighting, rather than on crippling the ability of Ukraine's military. Russian forces face an adversary which has continuously innovated and taken risks, fighting a war with just one rule—it cannot lose.

As 90% of Software Developers Use AI, Tech Cos Scramble To Vet It

The good news was supposed to be that AI could generate a whole lot more code than mere humans and in less time. 

The caveat, if you will, is that as with any new development, lots of that code could be buggy or downright dangerous. So someone has to review it. And while some Panglossian (Google it) Silicon Valley hypesters think MORE AI is the answer, lots of other aren't so sure, but there aren't yet enough humans capable of stepping up. Which means lots of extra work and missed deadlines. This will no doubt solve itself someday. When that day will be remains to be seen. JL

Mike Isaac and Erin Griffith report in the New York Times:

90% of software developers report using A.I. to help them work, while 71% who write code use A.I. to help them. With a little human guidance, an engineer could set an A.I. agent writing a program in a fraction of the time human coders need. What came next was a deluge of code. Many tech companies are now dealing with the ripple effects. Someone has to review the A.I.-generated code to test it. (But) there are not enough engineers to review the explosion of code for mistakes. Open source software projects, which anyone can contribute to, have been inundated with A.I.-enabled additions. Flaws in the code can lead to security vulnerabilities or software that crashes. For some in Silicon Valley, the solution to the code bloat seems obvious: A.I.-powered software review agents that spot errors.

Apr 9, 2026

In A First Since 2022, Putin's Approval Ratings In Russia Have Declined

What is particularly noteworthy about this is that two of the polls registering the decline in approval for Putin are from state-sanctioned pollsters. That the information was even allowed to be released - or was leaked - suggests that powerful forces with the Kremlin and among the oligarchy - are trying to send Putin a message about the conduct of the war, its impact on the economy and the resultant public mood.

Whether he is willing to listen to that message, let alone act on it, remains a momentous question. JL

Mike Eckel reports in RFE/RL:

Russian President Putin is not as popular as he used to be. In recent weeks,  a series of public opinion surveys -- including two conducted by state-linked pollsters -- have registered a decline in support for Putin. FOM, whose main customer is the Kremlin, recorded the lowest level of public trust in Putin since September 2022. The shift in mood might be explained by Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory; disruption of  Telegram, WhatsApp, and the Internet; unmet expectations from peace negotiations; overall fatigue with a prolonged war that started to impact the economy more noticeably. “Major interventions in everyday life: internet blackouts, the war penetrating deeper into Russia with strikes on oil refineries, airports and so on. The impact accumulates."

Lyman Assault Annihilated. Follows Pattern of Failed Russian Spring Attacks

For a war in which patterns have been more likely to be blown up than identified, a curious trend is emerging in the first months of 2026: Russian attacks, no matter the sector and the composition of the assault force, are being spotted either before or as soon as they reach the front line and are then expeditiously decimated.

The latest example occurred in the Lyman sector where a large mixed force of armor, motorcyles and infantry was literally annihilated by combined Ukrainian drones, infantry and artillery. The Ukrainians, as they have done regularly, first shaped the battlefield with drone-dropped mines and strongpoints, then followed up with surveillance and strikes, finishing off the remaining Russians by using thermal drones to identify their hiding places. This is not a pattern to which the Russians appear to have any answer so far. JL

RFU News reports:

Across the frontline, a pattern emerged over the past weeks: with Russian progress stalling, the Kremlin resorted to large assaults, leading to catastrophic losses. Within five days after their spring offensive started, the Russians suffered over 8,000 killed and wounded. In the Lyman sector, Russia committed 500 troops, twenty-eight armored vehicles, and more than 100 motorcycles and buggies thrown forward along 150 kilometers. Russian armor was restrained by remote mining by Ukrainian drones and funneled into routes which became kill zones. The first vehicles were destroyed, creating congestion and making subsequent targets even easier to hit. Ukraine also took out Russian support elements, destroying artillery and 160 Russian drones, blinding their recon and strike capabilities. 80% of the attackers were neutralized without any gain as the offensive collapsed. 

Gen Z Polls Reveal AI Attitude Turns Less Hopeful, More Angry, Anxious

As BB King (Google him) was known to sing, "the thrill is gone, baby." Recent polls reveal that Gen Zers recognize they have to be able to use AI, but don't seem excited or hopeful about it. 

Much of this has to do with AI's impact on hiring, especially for the entry level positions for which Gen Zers are most likely to apply, but it may also signal a growing awareness that tech generally and AI specifically will primarily advantage the few rather than the many. JL

Avery Lotz reports in Axios:

The share of Gen Z respondents who agree that AI makes them excited fell from 36% last year to 22% in 2026. A smaller share feel hopeful (18%) this year than last (27%) — and a larger share say they feel angry (22% to 31%). That rising anger may be driven by AI dimming prospects for entry-level workersGen Z's adoption of AI in daily life is largely unchanged from last year's survey, with just over half saying they use the tech daily (22%) or weekly (29%). Plateaued usage "speaks to the the reticent acceptance that this technology is here to stay." (52%) agree they'll have to know how to use it