Saabira Chaudhuri and Sharon Terlep report in the Wall Street Journal:
Voice-search assistants like Amazon Alexa often steer shoppers to a single product, selected by an algorithm with no input from the sellers. When shopping for items without specifying a brand, Alexa is more likely to recommend an ‘Amazon's Choice’ product before it suggests top search results. In the next five years, half of searches on the web will be done via voice (and) Alexa dominates 70% of the U.S. smart-speaker market.
Big brands would rather shoppers not ask Alexa.
The growing popularity of voice-search assistants poses a threat to the biggest makers of household staples. Already grappling with upstart rivals, changing consumer tastes and the rise of e-commerce, personal-care and packaged-foods makers have yet to figure out how to leverage the technology.
Unlike in stores or online, where an array of brands get plenty of exposure, voice-search assistants like Amazon.com Inc.’s AMZN 1.56% Alexa often steer shoppers to a single product, usually selected by an algorithm with no input from the sellers. That isn’t a big problem now, as voice searches account for a sliver of purchases. But it could be.
In the next five years, half of searches on the web will be done via voice, estimates Sebastien Szczepaniak, a former Amazon executive who now heads e-commerce for Nestlé SA, NSRGY 1.33% the world’s biggest packaged-foods company. Consulting firm Capgemini says voice-assistant users will log 18% of their total expenses via the devices in the next three years, up from 3% currently.
“Of all the disruptions that are taking place in all the things technology is bringing into our space, voice is among the most disruptive,” said Graeme Pitkethly, chief financial officer of Unilever UL 1.08% PLC. “In digital investment this is our biggest focus.”
For decades, the makers of packaged-food, personal and home-care brands have bought shelf space at retailers like Walmart Inc. WMT 1.36% and Costco Wholesale Corp. COST 1.14% that guarantee them nationwide exposure. They have poured billions into branding to make their products instantly recognizable.
Selling on websites offers some of those same advantages: Brands can pay for placement on a webpage and display their packaging and logos.
Voice shopping, which currently offers customers just one or two product options, could chip away at that tried-and-tested model.
“When it comes to voice search you go first position or you go home because beyond the first or second place there is no future,” Mr. Szczepaniak said.
In a test conducted in October, Bain & Co. found that for customers making a first-time purchase without specifying a brand, over half of the time Alexa’s first recommendation was a product from the “Amazon’s Choice” algorithm, which implies a well-rated, well-priced item that ships with Prime. Bain also found that in categories in which Amazon has a private brand, 17% of the time Alexa recommends the private-label product even though such products make up just 2% of volume sold.
“Amazon’s Choice is just our recommendation, and customers can always ask for specific brands or products if they choose,” said an Amazon spokeswoman.
Amazon doesn’t disclose the formula it uses to make product selections. A person familiar with the Alexa algorithm said it won’t always offer an Amazon product even if one is available, noting the selection depends in part on whether the item being requested is one that the shopper has purchased on Amazon before. The algorithm uses a machine-learning model to identify what matters most to customers for each product request so that recommendations improve over time, this person said.
For now, brands can’t pay Amazon to offer their products to customers in response to a generic request for a product, like detergent or paper towels.
Procter & Gamble Co. PG 0.99% , maker of Tide detergent and Pampers diapers, would be interested in paid search were it an option, said Vedran Miletic, P&G brand director of North America fabric-care delivery.
Without that paid-search option, P&G has been tinkering with ways to get noticed by shoppers using voice assistants, such as a Tide-branded Alexa app that doles out advice on how to clean over 200 stains but doesn’t suggest Tide products.
Alexa’s Influence
When shopping for items without specifying a brand, Alexa is more likely to recommend an ‘Amazon's Choice’ product before it suggests top search results.
Type of product recommended by Alexa‘Amazon's Choice’*Top resultNo resultSponsoredFirst recommendation6%41%54%Second recommendation6%91%4%Products available via Alexa,by private-label† categorizationAmazon hasa private labelAmazon doesn'thave a private label48%52%83%17%Alexa recommends other brands 83% of the time in categories in which it offers a private label.Alexa recommends a private label product 17% of the time in categories in which it offers a private label.“We do not want to overwhelmingly push our brands on consumers. We want to be agnostic and hope they choose us,” said Randy Limes, a digital and e-commerce executive at P&G.
Unilever, owner of Hellmann’s mayonnaise and Domestos toilet cleaner, has developed Alexa apps that give free recipes and cleaning tips that may or may not incorporate Unilever brands. Unilever sees the apps as a way to market its products by offering customers useful information when they need it most.
“It’s a new model of marketing since we’re moving to something that’s less about interrupting you like TV advertising does,” Mr. Pitkethly said.
Alexa dominates 70% of the U.S. smart-speaker market, according to Bain. There are other options to voice shop including Google Assistant, which for instance lets people buy things on Walmart.com using the Google Home speaker. It offers shoppers brands based on previous purchases made in store and on Walmart’s website.
Some executives predict voice search could help the biggest brands by encouraging shoppers to gravitate to products that are top of mind or by entrenching existing preferences. Once customers purchase a specific brand, Alexa usually picks the same brand for subsequent responses.
“The guy who will win is the guy who will have iconic brands and products,” said L’Oréal SA Chief Digital Officer Lubomira Rochet, who is working to figure out how to get L’Oréal’s products chosen by Amazon’s algorithm. “I believe voice is as big as the internet—and Google—when it came.”
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