A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

Oct 15, 2022

Multiple Sources Report Fierce Kherson Fighting As Ukraine Renews Offensive

While Ukraine has continued to press in the Kherson region, things had turned relatively quiet compared to the advances gained during the counteroffensive that began a few weeks ago.

There are now reports, though, that Ukraine has resumed its Kherson offensive in force and that Russian troops are again retreating. JL 

Daily Kos reports:

Russian Telegram sources now reporting on the new Kherson offensive, with Mylove a major target of the advance. Lots of reports of massive Ukranian artillery barrages across the entire contact line. The promised Ukrainian offensive toward Nova Kakhovka may have begun. We’re in that place again where Ukraine isn’t saying much. It’s hard to believe Ukraine took Mylove and no one reported it, but with the confirmed crackdown on Russian Telegram milbloggers, and with the Ukraine side quiet, it’s possible.

Russian Telegram sources now reporting on the new Kherson offensive, with Mylove a major target of the advance, but pressure on the entire line.

The promised Ukrainian offensive toward Nova Kakhovka may have begun: 

I have never heard so many shots in one unit of time. I have never seen so much military equipment, including aircraft.

The trunks are red-hot, there are 4 settlements to Berislav.

It’s been about a week since there was a confirmed advance in Kherson, and Ukrainian forces were still a ways from Beryslav. Lots of reports of massive Ukranian artillery barrages across the entire contact line. If this guy is right, then there have been massive advances. 

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Honestly, it’s hard to believe Ukraine took Mylove and no one reported it, but with the confirmed crackdown on Russian Telegram milbloggers, and with the Ukraine side quiet, I guess it’s possible.

 The Russian puppet mayor of Kherson announced an “evacuation” of the city on Thursday, then Friday said “nevermind,” so not sure what he’s so panicked about. We’re in that place again where Ukraine isn’t saying much, and Russian Telegram isn’t panicked. They need to be properly panicked to tell the truth, otherwise they just invent glorious victories to sustain themselves. 

Though it turns out, even that isn’t enough for the Russian authorities. From pro-Russian Telegram

Nine Russian military correspondents and military correspondent projects at once risk falling under criminal charges for discrediting the [Russian Federation] Armed Forces. These are: Igor Strelkov, Semyon Pegov (WarGonzo), Yuri Podolyaka, Vladlen Tatarsky, Sergey Mardan, Igor Dimitriev, authors of GreyZone, Rybar and, suddenly, Kristina Potupchik. The content in their TG channels is already being analyzed for fakes, defamation, and other prohibited and punishable things.

According to our information, the statement to Roskomnadzor with the requirement to check the work of the above authors was signed personally by the Chief of the General Staff. On the part of the Prosecutor General's Office, the case is being handled by the head of the department for supervision over the implementation of the law on federal security, terrorism, extremism and interethnic relations. The reason is the criticism of the Ministry of Defense and its decisions during the [Special Military Operation].

How long the check will last is still unknown. But if the corpus delicti is collected, and the guilt is established, the military correspondents will either get off with a fine, or receive up to three years in prison. friendly fire

Rybar has confirmed the news. The inclusion of GreyZone is interesting, as that is the Telegram outlet for Wagner mercenaries. There have been persistent rumors of a rift between Wagner CEO Yevgeny Prigozhin, “Putin’s Chef,” and other Russian elites like Minister of Defense Sergey Shoigu (who somehow still hasn’t been thrown out a window). Throwing GreyZone in a group including other stalwart Russian nationalists would be great cover for any effort to discredit Wagner and Prighozhin.

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