A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

May 28, 2023

Ukraine Increased Strikes On Russian Bases Tenfold In Last Week, Casualties In 100s

The pace, intensity - and focus - of Ukrainian attacks on Russian rear area installations has increased from ten per week to ten per day as Ukraine prepares for its counteroffensive. JL 

Euromaidan Press reports:

Ukraine intensified the frequency and strength of their precision strikes on Russian bases. Previously, Ukrainians executed around ten strikes per week; now, they are conducting ten strikes per day. The most devastating strikes have occurred in Mariupol. Today, local residents reported hearing numerous explosions near the airfield. A week ago, it was reported that Ukrainians had killed over 200 troops in a similar strike on facilities near the airfield, a higher number than the initial Ukrainian estimates of 150.

Ukrainians have intensified the frequency and strength of their precision strikes on Russian bases in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Previously, Ukrainians executed around ten strikes per week; now, they are conducting ten strikes per day.

The most devastating strikes have occurred in Mariupol. Today, local residents reported hearing numerous explosions near the airfield. The footage shows the activation of Russian air defense. According to unconfirmed reports, Russians managed to shoot down one out of four missiles.

This marks the second consecutive day of strikes. Yesterday, Ukrainians struck Mariupol with two Storm Shadow missiles. The targets were two facilities within the Azovstal industrial complex: one served as housing for hundreds of troops, and the other was used as an equipment warehouse.

Today, further information became available. Some Russian sources expressed dissatisfaction and criticism of the Russian command for its failure to adapt to the new realities of war. They disclosed that yesterday’s strike resulted in the deaths of 250 special operators and marines.

A week ago, it was reported that Ukrainians had killed over 200 troops in a similar strike on facilities near the airfield, a higher number than the initial Ukrainian estimates of 150.

Screenshot from video ~

Screenshot from video

The fact that these two consecutive strikes eliminated nearly 500 troops led many Russian analysts to believe that a significant number of local residents had been actively spying for an extended period of time, prompting urgent calls for increased counter-spying measures.

Another powerful Storm Shadow strike occurred in Berdiansk. The explosion was visible from villages more than 10 km away from the shore. Some sources reported that the target was the recreational center Khimiki, while others suggested the Azovkabel factory was the intended target. Both versions agree that Ukrainians were aiming at troop concentration areas.

Ukrainians also continue to utilize HIMARS. Over the last several days, Ukrainians conducted at least three HIMARS strikes on Russian military targets in and around Donetsk.

Result of a Ukrainian HIMARS strike inside Donetsk Oblast. Screenshot from video ~

Result of a Ukrainian HIMARS strike inside Donetsk Oblast. Screenshot from video

The most recent target was a former institute repurposed for military use by the Russians. The second strike targeted twin towers that housed anti-tank-guided missile systems, electronic warfare systems, and reconnaissance systems on their roofs. The third strike targeted a Russian air defense systems’ ammunition depot near Mospyne.

Additional sources reported that Ukrainian artillery crews are also striking towns and cities closer to the contact line. Some Ukrainian fighters reported that HIMARS rockets hit Russian targets in Nikoske, Melitopol, and Tokmak today.

Ukrainian precision missile strikes target the concentrations of well-trained Russian troops. Screenshot from video ~

Ukrainian precision missile strikes target the concentrations of well-trained Russian troops. Screenshot from video

The mayor of the Ukrainian city of Melitopol Ivan Fedorov confirmed that the explosions heard in Russian-occupied Berdiansk on 27 May were indeed at a military base.

Ukrainian strikes at occupied Berdiansk destroy “huge” amount of Russian troops – mayor ~~

According to Fedorov, the explosions on the Khmimiky recreation center, used by the Russians as a military base, targeted a “huge concentration” of Russian manpower and equipment, and that the occupiers sustained a “significant” amount of losses.

“We understand that a fairly significant number of occupants will never be able to fight against our Armed Forces of Ukraine again,” Fedorov said.

On May 27, the Ukrainian Army attacked recreation centers in Novopetrivka, Berdiansk district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, where the occupiers were stationed. Two explosions were reported by the local Telegram channel Berdiansk Siohodni, which shared photos and videos of the billowing smoke.

As per local Telegram channels, one explosion was heard loudest in the city center, particularly around the port area. Reports also mentioned enemy aircraft circling the area of the strike. Some sources initially reported the strike hitting a military training ground.

Ukrainian strikes at occupied Berdiansk destroy “huge” amount of Russian troops – mayor ~~Ukrainian strikes at occupied Berdiansk destroy “huge” amount of Russian troops – mayor ~~

All photos: Berdiansk Siohodni/TG

Deputy head of the Berdiansk district council Viktor Dudukalov confirmed on air of the national telethon that the Ukrainian strikes of 27 May targeted the recreation centers Khimiki and Vesna, located on the coast of the Azov Sea, where a large number of Russian military personnel were based. He indicated that the number of Russian troops killed could be in “the hundreds.”

Berdiansk strike

Results of the Ukrainian precision strike at Khimiki recreation center, which housed Russian troops. Photo: Berdiansk Siohodni

Explosions have been regularly occurring in Berdiansk, as well as in other Russian-occupied cities of Ukraine. Since the full-scale invasion by Russia in 2022, the city of Berdiansk has been under the control of Russian forces, which have been using the city and its port infrastructure for rotating troops and equipment. Moreover, stolen Ukrainian agricultural produce has been reportedly exported through the port of Berdiansk. It is believed that the Ukrainian strikes on Berdiansk and other Azov coast cities are a precursor to Ukraine’s counteroffensive, in which Ukraine would try to break through the landbridge leading to Crimea.

On 21 May, the Ukrainian Army hit the headquarters of the Russian military in the temporarily occupied Berdiansk.

On 25 May, explosions were heard again on an airfield in Berdiansk, and also reportedly in the harbor. The Berdiansk City Military Administration reported that a Russian S-300 air defense system was destroyed.

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