A Blog by Jonathan Low

 

May 2, 2025

US Special Envoy: "Russia Has Made No Progress in 18 Months. Will Not Win War"

A surprisingly negative - even brutal - assessment of Putin and Russia's performance and realistic expectations from the White House special envoy involved in peace negotiations. 

He would not make such comments without agreement from the president, which suggests that the US is turning up the pressure on Putin to agree to a deal. JL

Alex Stezhensky reports in New Voice of Ukraine
:
Russia will not win its war against Ukraine, U.S. special envoy Keith Kellogg said on May 1, pointing to the Kremlin’s failure to achieve any major progress on the battlefield over the past year and a half. “The Russians didn’t take Kyiv. They haven’t moved west of the Dnipro River. They haven’t taken Odesa. They’ve lost hundreds of thousands of troops, and they’ve really achieved nothing. They’re advancing by meters, not miles. And the Ukrainians are fighting hard on their own land." He said Russia must come to terms with the fact that it will not win the war. At the same time, he noted, Ukraine is in “a good position.”

Russia will not win its war against Ukraine, U.S. special envoy Keith Kellogg said on May 1, pointing to the Kremlin’s failure to achieve any major progress on the battlefield over the past year and a half.

“They [the Russians] didn’t take Kyiv, the capital. They haven’t moved west of the Dnipro River, which is a major obstacle. They haven’t taken Odesa. They’ve lost hundreds of thousands of troops, and they’ve really achieved nothing. They’re advancing by meters, not miles. And the Ukrainians are fighting on their own land. They’re fighting hard,” Kellogg said during an appearance on Fox News.

 

He said Russia must come to terms with the fact that it will not win the war. At the same time, he noted, Ukraine is in “a good position.”

According to Kellogg, European allies are stepping up and forming support coalitions independently of the United States—particularly under the leadership of the United Kingdom and France.

He stressed that those partners are prepared to increase their support for Ukraine if needed.

“No one is going to win this war militarily. It’s going to be done through diplomacy, and I think the Ukrainians understand that pretty well. And I think the Russians need to understand that too,” Kellogg added.

Kellogg previously stated that U.S. President Donald Trump seeks to broker a comprehensive ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia lasting at least 30 days. He called the three-day “truce” proposed by Russian dictator Vladimir Putin “absurd.”

Trump has claimed he believes Putin wants to end the war against Ukraine—but also acknowledged that the Russian leader may be misleading him.

17 comments:

katyperry said...

This report paints a picture of a U.S. administration increasingly confident in Ukraine's ability to hold its Crazy Cattle 3D ground, highly critical of Russia's military performance, and actively pushing for a diplomatic solution, potentially with increased pressure on Moscow.

brainrotclickers said...

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brainrotclickers said...

Wow, sounds like Russia is really struggling! Good to hear Ukraine is holding its own and that European allies are stepping up. Hopefully, they can [find a](https://www.brainrotclickers.org/) diplomatic solution soon.

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This analysis paints a picture of a tech company increasingly confident in its AI development capabilities, highly critical of competitors' Crazy Cattle 3D strategies, and actively pushing for market expansion, potentially with increased investment in research.

Twila Barrett said...

The mention of European allies stepping up independently, particularly the UK and France, signals a broadening of international involvement and support for Ukraine, which could mean increased pressure on Russia from multiple smash or pass fronts.

merge rot said...

U.S. special envoy Keith Kellogg stated that Russia will not win the war against Ukraine, citing its lack of significant progress and heavy troop losses. He emphasized that the conflict will be resolved through diplomacy, with European allies ready to support Ukraine independently of the U.S.

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Jack said...

Wow, that's a strong statement from the envoy! Makes you wonder what kind of calculations went into their assessment of the war's trajectory. Reminds me of how helpful a good Math Solver can be when tackling complex problems – you need clear steps to get to the right answer, just like in geopolitical strategy!

creepy dates said...

Concerning assessment of Russia's diplomatic stance—the lack of meaningful engagement on ending the conflict is deeply troubling; after processing these heavy geopolitical developments, a brief Creepy Dates break helps me decompress before returning to the news cycle.

Mage Arena said...

The diplomatic impasse highlighted here is deeply concerning—Russia's apparent lack of genuine commitment to peace talks demands international attention; I even paused my Mage Arena session to fully absorb the implications of this assessment.

blood money 2 said...

This assessment of Russia's military performance is quite stark - unlike bloodmoney which represents something dark, this analysis suggests that diplomatic solutions and international pressure may be the key to ending this conflict.

plonky said...

The diplomatic impasse highlighted here is deeply concerning—Russia's apparent lack of genuine commitment to peace talks demands international attention; I even paused my Plonky session to fully absorb the implications of this assessment.

incredibox unforgiven said...

This assessment of Russia's military stagnation is quite stark—after processing these heavy geopolitical developments, I find myself needing a moment with Incredibox Unforgiven to decompress before returning to the complex diplomatic landscape.

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This assessment of Russia's military performance is quite stark—after reading through this complex geopolitical analysis, I find myself needing a moment with Stickman Empires to process these concerning developments.

growden io said...

The diplomatic approach Kellogg advocates seems more promising than military escalation - perhaps platforms like growden io could help facilitate the kind of transparent negotiations needed to end this conflict peacefully.

Jack said...

Wow, that special envoy's take is tough—Russia's just stuck, no real gains in 18 months. It's like watching a battlefield frozen in time. Makes me think of cool animation tools to bring stalled scenes to life, like Wan 2.2 Animate, which replicates expressions from videos so seamlessly!

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