Ukraine "Massacre" of Russian Air Defenses Leads To Destroyed Strategic Missiles
Ukraine has systematically targeted Russia's air defenses for months, attacking and destroying the rockets and radars that guide them. And that strategy is paying off as the Kremlin is decreasingly able to protect its key military and economic assets from the now relentless Ukrainian drone and missile attacks on them.
In addition to the oil export ports on which Russia depends for foreign currency - many of which are now in flames, with production capacity reduced by 40% - Ukraine has started hitting the missiles, launch systems and manufacturing facilities which the Kremlin has used to strike Ukrainian cities. It is an intelligent, relentless focus on denying the enemy its strengths and is starting to show results. JL
Euromaidan Press reports:
The Bulava drone system was created at the request of the Ukrainian military to strike important targets. It is absolutely massacring Russian air defenses near the front line. One observer tallied six Bulava strikes on Russian air defense vehicles—Buks, Tors, Strelas and ZU-23s—this month. Increasingly incapable of protecting its most precious assets in a zone stretching hundreds of kilometers from the porous front line, the Russians are losing more hard-to-replace weapons. A single Zircon may cost $5 million. A Bastion launcher also costs millions of dollars. As recently as 2024, Russia possessed just 40 Zircons. Now it has two fewer.
It took two years, but Ukraine has finally copied the Lancet—and widely deployed this clone. The Bulava, a product of Ukrainian firm Deviro, is absolutely massacring Russian air defenses near the front line. One observer tallied no fewer than six Bulava strikes on Russian air defense vehicles—Buks, Tors, Strelas and ZU-23s—this month
Russia's Zircon missile is very fast and very difficult to intercept. And that's why it's such a big deal that, on or just before Tuesday, Ukraine's defense intelligence agency—the HUR—knocked out a Zircon launcher in Russian-occupied Crimea.
It's the first hit on a Bastion launcher, which transports and fires two of the 10-m Zircon missiles. "Fewer launchers," the Ukrainian defense ministry boasted. "Fewer missiles. Less capacity to strike Ukrainian cities."
The HUR sortied long-range, first-person-view drones to strike the wheeled Bastion in a Russian convoy traveling near Simferopol, 160 km from the front line in southern Ukraine. That the Ukrainian drones could get anywhere near the Bastion convoy speaks to the ongoing collapse of Russian air defenses—not just in Crimea, but all along the 1,200-km front line of Russia's 50-month wider war on Ukraine.
Increasingly incapable of protecting its most precious assets in a zone stretching hundreds of kilometers from the porous front line, the Russians are losing more hard-to-replace weapons. A single Zircon may cost $5 million. A Bastion launcher also costs millions of dollars. As recently as 2024, the HUR estimated Russia possessed just 40 Zircons. Now it has two fewer.
The Zircon is notionally an anti-ship missile, but it can strike targets on land, too, from as far away as 400 km. Russia occasionally tosses a few Zircons in the mix when it bombards Ukrainian cities on a roughly weekly basis.
The Bastion launcher was struck near Aktachi village. Map: Euromaidan Press
While few in number, the Zircons are uniquely dangerous. They're extremely hard to shoot down owing to their Mach-6 top speed and low cruising altitude. When Russia attacked Ukrainian cities on 7 March, there were two Zircons among the roughly 450 munitions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down most of the incoming missiles and drones, but both Zircons got through. Their high speed adds kinetic energy to their 300-kg warheads.
Vulnerable on the ground
But the Zircon, like all missiles, is vulnerable on the ground. Mobile launchers, which are harder to locate and hit than fixed launchers, can mitigate that vulnerability. But even mobile launchers need protection from air attack. And Russia is struggling to provide that protection.
There was a time, early in Russia's wider war on Ukraine, when occupied Crimea was one of the best-defended regions on Earth. Long-range radars scanned for incoming drones and missiles. Ground-based air defenses, including the best S-400 batteries, extended overlapping coverage. Short-range air defense and missile-armed warplanes backed up the S-400s.
In four years of relentless drone and missile strikes, Ukrainian forces gradually peeled away those defenses. The key, it seems, was Ukraine's arsenal of medium-range FPV drones such as the Fire Point FP-1 and FP-2. Directly steered via satellite by remote operators, the FP-1s and FP-2s fly low in order to avoid Russian air defenses—and then strike those same defenses with pinpoint accuracy.
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In just one year between March 2025 and this month, Ukraine's medium-range drones hit more than 170 Russian air defense systems, many of them in Crimea. Each strike on a hard-to-replace radar or launcher makes it easier for the next wave of drones to hit more radars and launchers—so on and so forth in a virtuous cycle for Ukraine that ends with Russian forces in Crimea being practically defenseless against aerial attack.
It's that defenselessness that exposed the Bastion launcher to attack—and got it and its two deadly Zircons destroyed before they could strike Ukrainian cities
As a Partner and Co-Founder of Predictiv and PredictivAsia, Jon specializes in management performance and organizational effectiveness for both domestic and international clients. He is an editor and author whose works include Invisible Advantage: How Intangilbles are Driving Business Performance. Learn more...
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